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icon for OpenAI files IPO by...?

OpenAI files IPO by...?

icon for OpenAI files IPO by...?

OpenAI files IPO by...?

最新
2026-06-06
Polymarket

$21 交易量

Polymarket

May 22

$50 交易量

6%

May 26

$0 交易量

49%

May 29

$0 交易量

54%

June 5

$21 交易量

92%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting. A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's recent preparations to confidentially file draft IPO paperwork with regulators as soon as this week represent the primary catalyst shaping trader sentiment, following its legal victory over Elon Musk that cleared a key overhang. Working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, the company is positioning for a potential listing as early as September 2026 at valuations discussed in the $850 billion to $1 trillion range, supported by prior funding rounds exceeding $100 billion and annualized revenue projections approaching $20 billion despite ongoing multibillion-dollar losses tied to compute infrastructure. This timeline aligns with broader 2026 IPO momentum in AI and tech, where market-implied odds reflect strong institutional interest in pure-play exposure amid favorable equity conditions and competitive positioning against peers like Anthropic. Key upcoming milestones include the confidential filing itself and any pre-IPO financing updates that could influence final terms or accelerate the process.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting.

A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe.

The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$21
结束日期
2026-06-06
市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting. A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting. A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's recent preparations to confidentially file draft IPO paperwork with regulators as soon as this week represent the primary catalyst shaping trader sentiment, following its legal victory over Elon Musk that cleared a key overhang. Working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, the company is positioning for a potential listing as early as September 2026 at valuations discussed in the $850 billion to $1 trillion range, supported by prior funding rounds exceeding $100 billion and annualized revenue projections approaching $20 billion despite ongoing multibillion-dollar losses tied to compute infrastructure. This timeline aligns with broader 2026 IPO momentum in AI and tech, where market-implied odds reflect strong institutional interest in pure-play exposure amid favorable equity conditions and competitive positioning against peers like Anthropic. Key upcoming milestones include the confidential filing itself and any pre-IPO financing updates that could influence final terms or accelerate the process.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting.

A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe.

The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$21
结束日期
2026-06-06
市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting. A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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常见问题

"OpenAI files IPO by...?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"June 5",概率为 92%,其次是"May 29",概率为 54%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 92¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 92%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"OpenAI files IPO by...?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于May 21, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"OpenAI files IPO by...?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"OpenAI files IPO by...?"的当前领先者是"June 5",概率为 92%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 92%。紧随其后的结果是"May 29",概率为 54%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"OpenAI files IPO by...?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。