Market icon

谁将在2025年离开特朗普政府?

Market icon

谁将在2025年离开特朗普政府?

$3,312,306 交易量

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$3,312,306 交易量

Polymarket

罗伯特·F.肯尼迪 Jr.

$257,525 交易量

分组条目标题:帕姆·邦迪

$594,892 交易量

Pete Hegseth

$523,189 交易量

马科·鲁比奥

$394,320 交易量

Scott Bessent

$147,786 交易量

塔西·加伯德

$129,682 交易量

李泽尔丁

$15,301 交易量

分组项标题:迈克·沃尔茨

$386,168 交易量

分组项标题:霍华德·卢特尼克

$247,715 交易量

卡罗琳·利维特

$84,179 交易量

丹·邦吉诺

$282,742 交易量

分组项标题:卡什·帕特尔

$248,806 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
交易量
$3,312,306
结束日期
Dec 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Mar 26, 2025, 3:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"谁将在2025年离开特朗普政府?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "分组项标题:迈克·沃尔茨" at 100%, followed by "丹·邦吉诺" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "谁将在2025年离开特朗普政府?" has generated $3.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "谁将在2025年离开特朗普政府?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "谁将在2025年离开特朗普政府?" is "分组项标题:迈克·沃尔茨" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "丹·邦吉诺" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "谁将在2025年离开特朗普政府?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.