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谁将在2025年离开特朗普政府?

Market icon

谁将在2025年离开特朗普政府?

$3,312,306 交易量

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$3,312,306 交易量

Polymarket

罗伯特·F.肯尼迪 Jr.

$257,525 交易量

分组条目标题:帕姆·邦迪

$594,892 交易量

Pete Hegseth

$523,189 交易量

马科·鲁比奥

$394,320 交易量

Scott Bessent

$147,786 交易量

塔西·加伯德

$129,682 交易量

李泽尔丁

$15,301 交易量

分组项标题:迈克·沃尔茨

$386,168 交易量

分组项标题:霍华德·卢特尼克

$247,715 交易量

卡罗琳·利维特

$84,179 交易量

丹·邦吉诺

$282,742 交易量

分组项标题:卡什·帕特尔

$248,806 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
交易量
$3,312,306
结束日期
Dec 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Mar 26, 2025, 3:43 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

已提议结果: 是

有争议

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"谁将在2025年离开特朗普政府?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 12 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"分组项标题:迈克·沃尔茨",概率为 100%,其次是"丹·邦吉诺",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"谁将在2025年离开特朗普政府?"已产生 $3.3 million 的总交易量(自Mar 26, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谁将在2025年离开特朗普政府?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 12 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将在2025年离开特朗普政府?"的当前领先者是"分组项标题:迈克·沃尔茨",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"丹·邦吉诺",概率为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将在2025年离开特朗普政府?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。