Silver (SI) futures hover near $29.80/oz amid trader consensus implying 65% odds of breaching $30 by June 30 on Polymarket, driven primarily by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts weakening the USD index (currently 105.2) and boosting precious metals as inflation hedges. Industrial demand from solar panel production and EV batteries adds tailwinds, with global silver supply deficits projected at 215M oz for 2024 per Silver Institute data. Key risks include strengthening U.S. economic data from tomorrow's ISM manufacturing PMI and June 12 CPI release, which could reinforce hawkish Fed bets. Historical precedent shows SI rallying 15% post-similar dovish pivots, underscoring capital-weighted sentiment's bullish tilt despite near-term volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$2,890,033 交易量
↑ 250美元
3%
↑ $230
4%
↑ $210
4%
↑ $200
4%
↑ $170
6%
↑ $150
7%
↑ $130
11%
↑ $120
15%
↓ $65
83%
低于60美元
62%
↓ $55
43%
↓ $45
21%
↓ $35
12%
$2,890,033 交易量
↑ 250美元
3%
↑ $230
4%
↑ $210
4%
↑ $200
4%
↑ $170
6%
↑ $150
7%
↑ $130
11%
↑ $120
15%
↓ $65
83%
低于60美元
62%
↓ $55
43%
↓ $45
21%
↓ $35
12%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市场开放时间: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Silver (SI) futures hover near $29.80/oz amid trader consensus implying 65% odds of breaching $30 by June 30 on Polymarket, driven primarily by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts weakening the USD index (currently 105.2) and boosting precious metals as inflation hedges. Industrial demand from solar panel production and EV batteries adds tailwinds, with global silver supply deficits projected at 215M oz for 2024 per Silver Institute data. Key risks include strengthening U.S. economic data from tomorrow's ISM manufacturing PMI and June 12 CPI release, which could reinforce hawkish Fed bets. Historical precedent shows SI rallying 15% post-similar dovish pivots, underscoring capital-weighted sentiment's bullish tilt despite near-term volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题