Polymarket traders are pricing a modest 35% implied probability for silver futures (SI) surpassing $30/oz by June 30, reflecting cooling bullish momentum amid a stronger U.S. dollar and fading Fed rate-cut bets following May's hotter-than-expected CPI print. Spot silver hovers near $29.50/oz, up 15% YTD on industrial demand from solar panels and EVs, but capped by elevated COMEX inventories and profit-taking after a multi-month rally tied to gold's safe-haven surge. Key catalysts ahead include June 12 FOMC minutes and July 1 inventory data; a break above $30.20 resistance could signal renewed upside, while sub-$29 support risks deeper pullback on hawkish Fed rhetoric.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$2,941,806 交易量
↑ 250美元
3%
↑ $230
4%
↑ $210
3%
↑ $200
5%
↑ $170
6%
↑ $150
8%
↑ $130
17%
↑ $120
16%
↓ $65
88%
低于60美元
79%
↓ $55
51%
↓ $45
25%
↓ $35
15%
$2,941,806 交易量
↑ 250美元
3%
↑ $230
4%
↑ $210
3%
↑ $200
5%
↑ $170
6%
↑ $150
8%
↑ $130
17%
↑ $120
16%
↓ $65
88%
低于60美元
79%
↓ $55
51%
↓ $45
25%
↓ $35
15%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市场开放时间: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
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0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a modest 35% implied probability for silver futures (SI) surpassing $30/oz by June 30, reflecting cooling bullish momentum amid a stronger U.S. dollar and fading Fed rate-cut bets following May's hotter-than-expected CPI print. Spot silver hovers near $29.50/oz, up 15% YTD on industrial demand from solar panels and EVs, but capped by elevated COMEX inventories and profit-taking after a multi-month rally tied to gold's safe-haven surge. Key catalysts ahead include June 12 FOMC minutes and July 1 inventory data; a break above $30.20 resistance could signal renewed upside, while sub-$29 support risks deeper pullback on hawkish Fed rhetoric.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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