Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in Elon Musk at a 100% implied probability as the richest person on March 31, 2026, driven by his commanding $817 billion net worth atop the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List—over $579 billion ahead of Larry Page in second place. This unchallenged frontrunner status reflects Tesla's robust stock gains and SpaceX's soaring private valuations through March, which propelled Musk beyond the $800 billion milestone and extended his lead amid tech sector momentum. Larry Page posted a 4.78% daily uptick on March 31, but the gap remains insurmountable; realistic upsets would require an unprecedented Tesla collapse or rival windfall before the Bloomberg Billionaires Index's 5:30 PM ET snapshot, a near-impossible scenario given historical volatility patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月31日最富有的人?
3月31日最富有的人?
埃隆·马斯克 100.0%
拉里·埃里森 <1%
伯纳德·阿尔诺 <1%
黄仁勋 <1%
$639,515 交易量
$639,515 交易量

拉里·埃里森
否

伯纳德·阿尔诺
否

黄仁勋
否

史蒂夫·鲍尔默
否

谢尔盖·布林
否

埃隆·马斯克
是

马克·扎克伯格
否

杰夫·贝索斯
否

沃伦·巴菲特
否

拉里·佩奇
否
埃隆·马斯克 100.0%
拉里·埃里森 <1%
伯纳德·阿尔诺 <1%
黄仁勋 <1%
$639,515 交易量
$639,515 交易量

拉里·埃里森
否

伯纳德·阿尔诺
否

黄仁勋
否

史蒂夫·鲍尔默
否

谢尔盖·布林
否

埃隆·马斯克
是

马克·扎克伯格
否

杰夫·贝索斯
否

沃伦·巴菲特
否

拉里·佩奇
否
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
市场开放时间: Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in Elon Musk at a 100% implied probability as the richest person on March 31, 2026, driven by his commanding $817 billion net worth atop the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List—over $579 billion ahead of Larry Page in second place. This unchallenged frontrunner status reflects Tesla's robust stock gains and SpaceX's soaring private valuations through March, which propelled Musk beyond the $800 billion milestone and extended his lead amid tech sector momentum. Larry Page posted a 4.78% daily uptick on March 31, but the gap remains insurmountable; realistic upsets would require an unprecedented Tesla collapse or rival windfall before the Bloomberg Billionaires Index's 5:30 PM ET snapshot, a near-impossible scenario given historical volatility patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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