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Next Prime Minister of Ireland

Market icon

Next Prime Minister of Ireland

Micheál Martin 100.0%

Conor McGregor <1%

Simon Harris <1%

Mary Lou McDonald <1%

Polymarket

$13,618,947 交易量

Micheál Martin 100.0%

Conor McGregor <1%

Simon Harris <1%

Mary Lou McDonald <1%

Polymarket

$13,618,947 交易量

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Conor McGregor

$9,363,172 交易量

No

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Simon Harris

$174,564 交易量

No

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Micheál Martin

$995,015 交易量

Yes

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Mary Lou McDonald

$222,968 交易量

No

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Jack Chambers

$660,731 交易量

No

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Pearse Doherty

$154,086 交易量

No

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Holly Cairns

$301,481 交易量

No

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Roderic O'Gorman

$155,020 交易量

No

Market icon

Helen McEntee

$327,444 交易量

No

Market icon

Jim O'Callaghan

$1,264,467 交易量

No

The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Conor McGregor is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Simon Harris is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Micheal Martin is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mary Lou McDonald is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jack Chambers is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pearse Doherty is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Holly Cairns is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roderic O'Gorman is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Helen McEntee is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim O'Callaghan is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roderic O'Gorman is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$13,618,947
结束日期
Nov 29, 2024
市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2024, 12:05 PM ET
The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roderic O'Gorman is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Conor McGregor is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Simon Harris is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Micheal Martin is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mary Lou McDonald is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jack Chambers is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pearse Doherty is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Holly Cairns is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roderic O'Gorman is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Helen McEntee is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2024 Irish general election to elect the 34th Dáil is due to be held on Friday, 29 November 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim O'Callaghan is the next Taoiseach (Prime Minister/Head of State) of Ireland following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Taoiseach will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Taoiseach of Ireland is instated by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ireland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Next Prime Minister of Ireland"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Micheál Martin",概率为 100%,其次是"Conor McGregor",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Next Prime Minister of Ireland"已产生 $13.6 million 的总交易量(自Nov 12, 2024市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Next Prime Minister of Ireland"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Next Prime Minister of Ireland"的当前领先者是"Micheál Martin",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Conor McGregor",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Next Prime Minister of Ireland"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。