Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Tel Aviv high of 24°C on March 17, driven by the latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on daytime highs around 23-25°C amid mild Mediterranean air masses and light southerly winds. Historical March data shows averages of 20-22°C, with recent observations confirming stable, post-winter conditions without heat anomalies. This positioning aligns with verified model outputs showing low volatility in near-term sensible temperatures. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen adiabatic warming from stronger sirocco flows or urban heat island amplification pushing toward 25-26°C, though ensemble probabilities remain below 1% per official outlooks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 17?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$26,255 交易量
$26,255 交易量
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$26,255 交易量
$26,255 交易量
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ben Gurion Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 13, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBGResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Tel Aviv high of 24°C on March 17, driven by the latest forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on daytime highs around 23-25°C amid mild Mediterranean air masses and light southerly winds. Historical March data shows averages of 20-22°C, with recent observations confirming stable, post-winter conditions without heat anomalies. This positioning aligns with verified model outputs showing low volatility in near-term sensible temperatures. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen adiabatic warming from stronger sirocco flows or urban heat island amplification pushing toward 25-26°C, though ensemble probabilities remain below 1% per official outlooks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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