Official Météo-France observations confirm Paris's highest temperature on March 25 reached exactly 13°C at key monitoring stations like Roissy-Charles de Gaulle airport, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Cool northerly airflow and persistent cloud cover suppressed daytime heating, consistent with seasonal norms for late March where average highs hover around 11–13°C amid a neutral-to-weak El Niño transition. Pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converged on this outcome by March 24, showing minimal upside risk for warmer air masses. Realistic challenges would require post hoc data revisions from official sources—extremely rare—or measurement discrepancies across stations, but current validated records lock in this resolution with high certainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?
13°C 100.0%
$213,555 交易量
$213,555 交易量
13°C
100%
13°C 100.0%
$213,555 交易量
$213,555 交易量
13°C
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Météo-France observations confirm Paris's highest temperature on March 25 reached exactly 13°C at key monitoring stations like Roissy-Charles de Gaulle airport, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Cool northerly airflow and persistent cloud cover suppressed daytime heating, consistent with seasonal norms for late March where average highs hover around 11–13°C amid a neutral-to-weak El Niño transition. Pre-event ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converged on this outcome by March 24, showing minimal upside risk for warmer air masses. Realistic challenges would require post hoc data revisions from official sources—extremely rare—or measurement discrepancies across stations, but current validated records lock in this resolution with high certainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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