Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 15°C in Munich on March 25, backed by unified forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble models showing a peak of 14–16°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow and clear skies. Recent 24-hour updates confirm stable upper-air patterns with minimal model divergence, elevating confidence amid typical late-March variability where averages hover around 11°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with official guidance from Munich Airport observations. Scenarios challenging this include a sudden nocturnal cold advection or localized inversions trimming the high by 1–2°C, though low-probability given current geopotential height fields; DWD's final daily report will confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月25日慕尼黑的最高温度？
3月25日慕尼黑的最高温度？
15°C 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
Mar 25, 2026
9°C或以下
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
是
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或更高
否
15°C 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
Mar 25, 2026
9°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
10°C
$0 交易量
否
11°C
$0 交易量
否
12°C
$0 交易量
否
13°C
$0 交易量
否
14°C
$0 交易量
否
15°C
$0 交易量
是
16°C
$0 交易量
否
17°C
$0 交易量
否
18°C
$0 交易量
否
19°C或更高
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 15°C in Munich on March 25, backed by unified forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble models showing a peak of 14–16°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow and clear skies. Recent 24-hour updates confirm stable upper-air patterns with minimal model divergence, elevating confidence amid typical late-March variability where averages hover around 11°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with official guidance from Munich Airport observations. Scenarios challenging this include a sudden nocturnal cold advection or localized inversions trimming the high by 1–2°C, though low-probability given current geopotential height fields; DWD's final daily report will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 25, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 15°C in Munich on March 25, backed by unified forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble models showing a peak of 14–16°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow and clear skies. Recent 24-hour updates confirm stable upper-air patterns with minimal model divergence, elevating confidence amid typical late-March variability where averages hover around 11°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with official guidance from Munich Airport observations. Scenarios challenging this include a sudden nocturnal cold advection or localized inversions trimming the high by 1–2°C, though low-probability given current geopotential height fields; DWD's final daily report will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$0结束日期
Mar 25, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 15°C in Munich on March 25, backed by unified forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble models showing a peak of 14–16°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow and clear skies. Recent 24-hour updates confirm stable upper-air patterns with minimal model divergence, elevating confidence amid typical late-March variability where averages hover around 11°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with official guidance from Munich Airport observations. Scenarios challenging this include a sudden nocturnal cold advection or localized inversions trimming the high by 1–2°C, though low-probability given current geopotential height fields; DWD's final daily report will confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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