Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Miami high of 82-83°F (48% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast models converging on 82-84°F amid persistent high pressure over the southeastern U.S., promoting sunny skies and light southerly winds. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the past 24 hours refined this outlook after incorporating real-time upper-air observations showing strong subsidence and dry mid-levels aloft, reducing cloud cover risks that previously favored 80-81°F (21.5%). Sea surface temperatures around 78°F in the Straits of Florida bolster above-normal warmth against March climatological averages of 81°F, though sea-breeze timing introduces minor uncertainty. Key data: afternoon soundings and 2-4 PM EST peak-hour readings will sharpen resolution as the date unfolds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
82-83°F 48%
80-81°F 24%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 6.4%
$46,466 交易量
$46,466 交易量
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
48%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 48%
80-81°F 24%
84-85°F 16%
78-79°F 6.4%
$46,466 交易量
$46,466 交易量
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
48%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Miami high of 82-83°F (48% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast models converging on 82-84°F amid persistent high pressure over the southeastern U.S., promoting sunny skies and light southerly winds. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the past 24 hours refined this outlook after incorporating real-time upper-air observations showing strong subsidence and dry mid-levels aloft, reducing cloud cover risks that previously favored 80-81°F (21.5%). Sea surface temperatures around 78°F in the Straits of Florida bolster above-normal warmth against March climatological averages of 81°F, though sea-breeze timing introduces minor uncertainty. Key data: afternoon soundings and 2-4 PM EST peak-hour readings will sharpen resolution as the date unfolds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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