Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth peg the March 26 high near 88°F under a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and sunny skies, driving trader consensus toward the 86-89°F bins at 36.5% and 32% implied probabilities. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering in the upper 80s, up from yesterday's projections after observations confirmed warmer morning starts and robust southerly winds advecting Gulf air masses. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover—minimal per HRRR short-range guidance—and peak heating timing around 3-4 PM, with historical March norms (average high 68°F) underscoring the anomaly from persistent ridging. New hourly updates from NOAA stations could refine the razor-thin spread before evening resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月26日达拉斯的最高温度?
3月26日达拉斯的最高温度?
86-87°F 39%
88-89°F 34%
84-85°F 22%
90-91°F 8%
$35,069 交易量
$35,069 交易量
79°F或以下
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
34%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98华氏度或更高
<1%
86-87°F 39%
88-89°F 34%
84-85°F 22%
90-91°F 8%
$35,069 交易量
$35,069 交易量
79°F或以下
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
39%
88-89°F
34%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98华氏度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth peg the March 26 high near 88°F under a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and sunny skies, driving trader consensus toward the 86-89°F bins at 36.5% and 32% implied probabilities. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering in the upper 80s, up from yesterday's projections after observations confirmed warmer morning starts and robust southerly winds advecting Gulf air masses. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover—minimal per HRRR short-range guidance—and peak heating timing around 3-4 PM, with historical March norms (average high 68°F) underscoring the anomaly from persistent ridging. New hourly updates from NOAA stations could refine the razor-thin spread before evening resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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