Traders have locked in near-certainty on a Dallas high temperature of 74-75°F on March 18, propelled by the latest National Weather Service forecast models converging on this narrow band amid post-frontal clearing and light southerly winds. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates peak afternoon heating capped by lingering high pressure, aligning with historical mid-March averages around 70°F but nudged higher by recent mild advection. Verified observations from DFW Airport sensors yesterday support the setup, with dewpoints in the 50s°F limiting convective interference. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated surge of Gulf moisture pushing into 76-77°F territory or a late-day northerly shear dropping it below 74°F, though current soundings deem these low-probability outliers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Dallas on March 18?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 18?
74-75°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$36,644 交易量
$36,644 交易量
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
Yes
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
No
74-75°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$36,644 交易量
$36,644 交易量
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
Yes
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 14, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have locked in near-certainty on a Dallas high temperature of 74-75°F on March 18, propelled by the latest National Weather Service forecast models converging on this narrow band amid post-frontal clearing and light southerly winds. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates peak afternoon heating capped by lingering high pressure, aligning with historical mid-March averages around 70°F but nudged higher by recent mild advection. Verified observations from DFW Airport sensors yesterday support the setup, with dewpoints in the 50s°F limiting convective interference. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated surge of Gulf moisture pushing into 76-77°F territory or a late-day northerly shear dropping it below 74°F, though current soundings deem these low-probability outliers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题