The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast models, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensembles, project Beijing's highest temperature on March 26 at precisely 25°C under persistent high-pressure ridging and mild southerly flow bringing warmer air masses northward. This aligns with observed trends from the past 48 hours, where temperatures have hovered 8–10°C above seasonal norms amid low cloud cover and light winds, driving trader consensus to 98.5% implied probability for 25°C. Historical March maxima rarely exceed 20°C, underscoring the unusual warmth, though realistic challenges include sudden cold frontal passage, increased cloudiness, or model biases in urban heat effects, with final observations from official Beijing stations resolving the market. Updated guidance expected midday March 26.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on March 26?
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 26?
25°C 98.4%
26°C 2.4%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$130,019 交易量
$130,019 交易量
24°C
<1%
25°C
98%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 98.4%
26°C 2.4%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$130,019 交易量
$130,019 交易量
24°C
<1%
25°C
98%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 22, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast models, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensembles, project Beijing's highest temperature on March 26 at precisely 25°C under persistent high-pressure ridging and mild southerly flow bringing warmer air masses northward. This aligns with observed trends from the past 48 hours, where temperatures have hovered 8–10°C above seasonal norms amid low cloud cover and light winds, driving trader consensus to 98.5% implied probability for 25°C. Historical March maxima rarely exceed 20°C, underscoring the unusual warmth, though realistic challenges include sudden cold frontal passage, increased cloudiness, or model biases in urban heat effects, with final observations from official Beijing stations resolving the market. Updated guidance expected midday March 26.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题