Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 19°C in Beijing today at 99.6% implied probability, anchored by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like ECMWF, which project a daytime peak under a dominant anticyclonic high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and efficient solar heating. Morning observations already align, with temperatures climbing steadily from around 10°C toward an afternoon maximum near 19°C, consistent with hourly guidance showing 17–18°C mid-afternoon. Historical early-April highs average 17°C, but this setup boosts it modestly. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer clouds capping at 18°C or a late cold front surge below that, though model ensembles show minimal support; official CMA readout expected post-midnight UTC resolves the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
19°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
18°C <1%
$124,739 交易量
$124,739 交易量
2026-04-01
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
18°C <1%
$124,739 交易量
$124,739 交易量
2026-04-01
18°C
$14,584 交易量
<1%
19°C
$15,844 交易量
100%
20°C
$14,078 交易量
<1%
21°C
$11,372 交易量
<1%
22°C or higher
$10,640 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 19°C in Beijing today at 99.6% implied probability, anchored by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like ECMWF, which project a daytime peak under a dominant anticyclonic high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and efficient solar heating. Morning observations already align, with temperatures climbing steadily from around 10°C toward an afternoon maximum near 19°C, consistent with hourly guidance showing 17–18°C mid-afternoon. Historical early-April highs average 17°C, but this setup boosts it modestly. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer clouds capping at 18°C or a late cold front surge below that, though model ensembles show minimal support; official CMA readout expected post-midnight UTC resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
交易量
$124,739结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 19°C in Beijing today at 99.6% implied probability, anchored by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like ECMWF, which project a daytime peak under a dominant anticyclonic high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and efficient solar heating. Morning observations already align, with temperatures climbing steadily from around 10°C toward an afternoon maximum near 19°C, consistent with hourly guidance showing 17–18°C mid-afternoon. Historical early-April highs average 17°C, but this setup boosts it modestly. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer clouds capping at 18°C or a late cold front surge below that, though model ensembles show minimal support; official CMA readout expected post-midnight UTC resolves the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$124,739结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 19°C in Beijing today at 99.6% implied probability, anchored by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models like ECMWF, which project a daytime peak under a dominant anticyclonic high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and efficient solar heating. Morning observations already align, with temperatures climbing steadily from around 10°C toward an afternoon maximum near 19°C, consistent with hourly guidance showing 17–18°C mid-afternoon. Historical early-April highs average 17°C, but this setup boosts it modestly. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer clouds capping at 18°C or a late cold front surge below that, though model ensembles show minimal support; official CMA readout expected post-midnight UTC resolves the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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