Latest hourly observations at Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA)—the market's resolution source—show temperatures peaking at 19°C (66°F) by early afternoon on April 1 under partly cloudy skies, surpassing the China Meteorological Administration's morning forecast of 17°C maximum amid light winds and typical early-spring warming. Short-range model ensembles from CMA and global systems like GFS and ECMWF reinforce this trader consensus at 97.8% implied probability for 19°C, consistent with historical early-April highs averaging 18–19°C. Realistic shifts could arise from unexpected afternoon clearing pushing toward 20°C or thickening clouds capping at 18°C, with final data expected via Wunderground by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
19°C 99.3%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
13°C <1%
$118,619 交易量
$118,619 交易量
2026-04-01
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
99%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.3%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
13°C <1%
$118,619 交易量
$118,619 交易量
2026-04-01
13°C
$7,321 交易量
<1%
14°C
$7,417 交易量
<1%
15°C
$9,983 交易量
<1%
16°C
$16,879 交易量
<1%
17°C
$13,251 交易量
<1%
18°C
$14,467 交易量
<1%
19°C
$14,564 交易量
99%
20°C
$13,105 交易量
1%
21°C
$8,481 交易量
<1%
22°C or higher
$10,632 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest hourly observations at Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA)—the market's resolution source—show temperatures peaking at 19°C (66°F) by early afternoon on April 1 under partly cloudy skies, surpassing the China Meteorological Administration's morning forecast of 17°C maximum amid light winds and typical early-spring warming. Short-range model ensembles from CMA and global systems like GFS and ECMWF reinforce this trader consensus at 97.8% implied probability for 19°C, consistent with historical early-April highs averaging 18–19°C. Realistic shifts could arise from unexpected afternoon clearing pushing toward 20°C or thickening clouds capping at 18°C, with final data expected via Wunderground by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
交易量
$118,619结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest hourly observations at Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA)—the market's resolution source—show temperatures peaking at 19°C (66°F) by early afternoon on April 1 under partly cloudy skies, surpassing the China Meteorological Administration's morning forecast of 17°C maximum amid light winds and typical early-spring warming. Short-range model ensembles from CMA and global systems like GFS and ECMWF reinforce this trader consensus at 97.8% implied probability for 19°C, consistent with historical early-April highs averaging 18–19°C. Realistic shifts could arise from unexpected afternoon clearing pushing toward 20°C or thickening clouds capping at 18°C, with final data expected via Wunderground by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$118,619结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETLatest hourly observations at Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA)—the market's resolution source—show temperatures peaking at 19°C (66°F) by early afternoon on April 1 under partly cloudy skies, surpassing the China Meteorological Administration's morning forecast of 17°C maximum amid light winds and typical early-spring warming. Short-range model ensembles from CMA and global systems like GFS and ECMWF reinforce this trader consensus at 97.8% implied probability for 19°C, consistent with historical early-April highs averaging 18–19°C. Realistic shifts could arise from unexpected afternoon clearing pushing toward 20°C or thickening clouds capping at 18°C, with final data expected via Wunderground by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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