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科技·双子座3

谷歌双子座在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？

Market icon
科技·双子座3

谷歌双子座在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？

Mar 31

Mar 31

$202,880 交易量

Feb 28, 2026
Polymarket

$202,880 交易量

Polymarket

40%+

$61,144 交易量

96%

45%及以上

$70,065 交易量

83%

50%及以上

$71,672 交易量

39%

55%及以上

$0 交易量

16%

60%以上

$0 交易量

10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview currently leads the Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) benchmark at 44.7% on Artificial Analysis and 37.5% on Scale Labs' leaderboard, reflecting rapid scaling in reasoning capabilities via Deep Think mode, which hit 48.4% without tools in February 2026 announcements. This frontier benchmark of 2,500 expert questions tests AI limits beyond memorization, where prior Gemini 2.5 models scored under 20%. Trader consensus weighs Google's aggressive release cadence—including March's Gemini 3.1 Flash Live Preview—against competitors like OpenAI's GPT-5.4 (44.3% top) and Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6. Key catalysts ahead: Google I/O in May for potential Gemini 4 previews and Q2 earnings on compute scaling, amid benchmark discrepancies over tool use and evaluation rigor.

Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview currently leads the Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) benchmark at 44.7% on Artificial Analysis and 37.5% on Scale Labs' leaderboard, reflecting rapid scaling in reasoning capabilities via Deep Think mode, which hit 48.4% without tools in February 2026 announcements. This frontier benchmark of 2,500 expert questions tests AI limits beyond memorization, where prior Gemini 2.5 models scored under 20%. Trader consensus weighs Google's aggressive release cadence—including March's Gemini 3.1 Flash Live Preview—against competitors like OpenAI's GPT-5.4 (44.3% top) and Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6. Key catalysts ahead: Google I/O in May for potential Gemini 4 previews and Q2 earnings on compute scaling, amid benchmark discrepancies over tool use and evaluation rigor.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview currently leads the Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) benchmark at 44.7% on Artificial Analysis and 37.5% on Scale Labs' leaderboard, reflecting rapid scaling in reasoning capabilities via Deep Think mode, which hit 48.4% without tools in February 2026 announcements. This frontier benchmark of 2,500 expert questions tests AI limits beyond memorization, where prior Gemini 2.5 models scored under 20%. Trader consensus weighs Google's aggressive release cadence—including March's Gemini 3.1 Flash Live Preview—against competitors like OpenAI's GPT-5.4 (44.3% top) and Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6. Key catalysts ahead: Google I/O in May for potential Gemini 4 previews and Q2 earnings on compute scaling, amid benchmark discrepancies over tool use and evaluation rigor.

Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview currently leads the Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) benchmark at 44.7% on Artificial Analysis and 37.5% on Scale Labs' leaderboard, reflecting rapid scaling in reasoning capabilities via Deep Think mode, which hit 48.4% without tools in February 2026 announcements. This frontier benchmark of 2,500 expert questions tests AI limits beyond memorization, where prior Gemini 2.5 models scored under 20%. Trader consensus weighs Google's aggressive release cadence—including March's Gemini 3.1 Flash Live Preview—against competitors like OpenAI's GPT-5.4 (44.3% top) and Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6. Key catalysts ahead: Google I/O in May for potential Gemini 4 previews and Q2 earnings on compute scaling, amid benchmark discrepancies over tool use and evaluation rigor.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"谷歌双子座在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"40%+"，概率为 96%，其次是"45%及以上"，概率为 83%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 96¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 96%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"谷歌双子座在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？"已产生 $202.9K 的总交易量（自Jan 29, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"谷歌双子座在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谷歌双子座在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？"的当前领先者是"40%+"，概率为 96%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 96%。紧随其后的结果是"45%及以上"，概率为 83%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谷歌双子座在6月30日之前在人类的最后一次考试中得分？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。