Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts against Crude Oil (CL) surpassing the $85 threshold by June 30, with market-implied odds around 40%, reflecting real-money bets amid current WTI futures trading near $81.50. Key drivers include persistent OPEC+ production cuts of 2.2 million bpd extended through Q3, counterbalanced by rising US inventories (EIA data showed +3.6M barrels last week) and softening Chinese demand amid economic slowdown. Geopolitical flares in the Middle East add upside risk, but recession fears have capped gains. Watch Thursday's EIA report and June 27 OPEC+ monitoring meeting for volatility; a drop below $80 could accelerate downside momentum in trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于原油( CL )是否会在6月底前达到__ ?
原油( CL )是否会在6月底前达到__ ?
$2,228,123 交易量
↑ $200
12%
↑ $175
15%
↑ 150美元
21%
↑ $140
25%
↑ $130
34%
↑ $120
42%
↑ $115
49%
↑ $110
48%
↑ $105
64%
↑ $100
65%
↓ $85
80%
↓ $80
69%
↓ $70
48%
↓ $60
24%
↓ $55
20%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
10%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ 35美元
2%
$2,228,123 交易量
↑ $200
12%
↑ $175
15%
↑ 150美元
21%
↑ $140
25%
↑ $130
34%
↑ $120
42%
↑ $115
49%
↑ $110
48%
↑ $105
64%
↑ $100
65%
↓ $85
80%
↓ $80
69%
↓ $70
48%
↓ $60
24%
↓ $55
20%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
10%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ 35美元
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts against Crude Oil (CL) surpassing the $85 threshold by June 30, with market-implied odds around 40%, reflecting real-money bets amid current WTI futures trading near $81.50. Key drivers include persistent OPEC+ production cuts of 2.2 million bpd extended through Q3, counterbalanced by rising US inventories (EIA data showed +3.6M barrels last week) and softening Chinese demand amid economic slowdown. Geopolitical flares in the Middle East add upside risk, but recession fears have capped gains. Watch Thursday's EIA report and June 27 OPEC+ monitoring meeting for volatility; a drop below $80 could accelerate downside momentum in trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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