**Trader sentiment for the July 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month print centers on the sharp June decline of 0.4%—the largest drop since 2020—driven primarily by a steep fall in energy prices following geopolitical easing.** This created a low base that nowcasts and economist surveys place July headline CPI MoM near 0.14%, with Cleveland Fed models showing a 0.09–0.27% range across components. Market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes at or above 0.0%, reflecting expectations of partial rebound in energy and stable shelter costs amid cooling labor-market data and subdued goods inflation. The August 12 release remains the immediate catalyst, with consensus forecasts clustering tightly around modest positive prints consistent with the current pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于≥0.1% 77%
0.0% 26%
-0.1% 5.8%
-0.3% 1.1%
$195,867 交易量
$195,867 交易量
2026-08-12
≤-0.7%
<1%
-0.6%
<1%
-0.5%
1%
-0.4%
<1%
-0.3%
1%
-0.2%
1%
-0.1%
6%
0.0%
26%
≥0.1%
77%
≥0.1% 77%
0.0% 26%
-0.1% 5.8%
-0.3% 1.1%
$195,867 交易量
$195,867 交易量
2026-08-12
≤-0.7%
$13,958 交易量
<1%
-0.6%
$10,025 交易量
<1%
-0.5%
$7,737 交易量
1%
-0.4%
$6,525 交易量
<1%
-0.3%
$7,166 交易量
1%
-0.2%
$7,680 交易量
1%
-0.1%
$15,564 交易量
6%
0.0%
$41,189 交易量
26%
≥0.1%
$86,024 交易量
77%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Trader sentiment for the July 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month print centers on the sharp June decline of 0.4%—the largest drop since 2020—driven primarily by a steep fall in energy prices following geopolitical easing.** This created a low base that nowcasts and economist surveys place July headline CPI MoM near 0.14%, with Cleveland Fed models showing a 0.09–0.27% range across components. Market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes at or above 0.0%, reflecting expectations of partial rebound in energy and stable shelter costs amid cooling labor-market data and subdued goods inflation. The August 12 release remains the immediate catalyst, with consensus forecasts clustering tightly around modest positive prints consistent with the current pricing.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ET
交易量
$195,867结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Trader sentiment for the July 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month print centers on the sharp June decline of 0.4%—the largest drop since 2020—driven primarily by a steep fall in energy prices following geopolitical easing.** This created a low base that nowcasts and economist surveys place July headline CPI MoM near 0.14%, with Cleveland Fed models showing a 0.09–0.27% range across components. Market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes at or above 0.0%, reflecting expectations of partial rebound in energy and stable shelter costs amid cooling labor-market data and subdued goods inflation. The August 12 release remains the immediate catalyst, with consensus forecasts clustering tightly around modest positive prints consistent with the current pricing.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$195,867结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the July 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month print centers on the sharp June decline of 0.4%—the largest drop since 2020—driven primarily by a steep fall in energy prices following geopolitical easing.** This created a low base that nowcasts and economist surveys place July headline CPI MoM near 0.14%, with Cleveland Fed models showing a 0.09–0.27% range across components. Market-implied odds heavily favor outcomes at or above 0.0%, reflecting expectations of partial rebound in energy and stable shelter costs amid cooling labor-market data and subdued goods inflation. The August 12 release remains the immediate catalyst, with consensus forecasts clustering tightly around modest positive prints consistent with the current pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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