Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96.4% implied probability to Claude by Anthropic holding the #2 free app spot in the US Apple App Store on April 3, driven by sustained momentum from its explosive March surge. Following OpenAI's swift acceptance of a Pentagon contract for AI applications—after Anthropic publicly rejected involvement in mass surveillance and autonomous weapons—millions defected from ChatGPT, propelling Claude's iOS chatbot app to #1 before stabilizing near the top amid AI platform competition. Current Sensor Tower and FoxData charts confirm Claude entrenched in the top two, outpacing Google Gemini and fading sports apps like NCAA March Madness Live post-tournament peak. Challenges could arise from viral daily surges in apps like Threads or MLB, or ChatGPT reclaiming dominance, though low trader odds reflect Claude's sticky user adoption via superior large language model access and free tier appeal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Claude by Anthropic 97.6%
ChatGPT 2.5%
Google 1.9%
NCAA March Madness Live <1%
$15,773 交易量
$15,773 交易量

Claude by Anthropic
98%

ChatGPT
3%

2%

NCAA March Madness Live
1%

Google Gemini
1%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
1%

The White House
<1%

Threads
<1%

MLB
<1%
Claude by Anthropic 97.6%
ChatGPT 2.5%
Google 1.9%
NCAA March Madness Live <1%
$15,773 交易量
$15,773 交易量

Claude by Anthropic
98%

ChatGPT
3%

2%

NCAA March Madness Live
1%

Google Gemini
1%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
1%

The White House
<1%

Threads
<1%

MLB
<1%
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
市场开放时间: Mar 31, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96.4% implied probability to Claude by Anthropic holding the #2 free app spot in the US Apple App Store on April 3, driven by sustained momentum from its explosive March surge. Following OpenAI's swift acceptance of a Pentagon contract for AI applications—after Anthropic publicly rejected involvement in mass surveillance and autonomous weapons—millions defected from ChatGPT, propelling Claude's iOS chatbot app to #1 before stabilizing near the top amid AI platform competition. Current Sensor Tower and FoxData charts confirm Claude entrenched in the top two, outpacing Google Gemini and fading sports apps like NCAA March Madness Live post-tournament peak. Challenges could arise from viral daily surges in apps like Threads or MLB, or ChatGPT reclaiming dominance, though low trader odds reflect Claude's sticky user adoption via superior large language model access and free tier appeal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题