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伊朗停火 預測與賠率

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美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?

美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?

77%

12月31日

$174M 交易量

$12M today

$2M Liq.

3,888

Ends 7 個月內

伊朗停火持續到... ?

伊朗停火持續到... ?

100%

May 23

$23M 交易量

$4M today

$954K Liq.

208

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

50%

June 7

$5M 交易量

$3M today

$294K Liq.

186

伊朗同意在…前交出濃縮鈾庫存?

伊朗同意在…前交出濃縮鈾庫存?

45%

12月31日

$10M 交易量

$721K today

$184K Liq.

162

Ends 7 個月內

特朗普宣布美國解除對霍爾木茲的封鎖... ?

特朗普宣布美國解除對霍爾木茲的封鎖... ?

67%

6月30日

$22M 交易量

$623K today

$171K Liq.

505

Ends 大約 1 個月內

美國通過...獲得伊朗濃縮鈾?

美國通過...獲得伊朗濃縮鈾?

27%

12月31日

$20M 交易量

$614K today

$487K Liq.

183

Ends 7 個月內

到5月31日,特朗普會同意伊朗的哪些要求?

到5月31日,特朗普會同意伊朗的哪些要求?

26%

石油制裁解除

$6M 交易量

$585K today

$303K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

美國x伊朗的外交會議在... ?

美國x伊朗的外交會議在... ?

85%

7月31日

$40M 交易量

$572K today

$315K Liq.

6

Ends 25 天前

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

9%

May 31

$919K 交易量

$323K today

$82.8K Liq.

47

Ends 6 天內

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

15%

$2M 交易量

$321K today

$34.7K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

美國和伊朗在6月30日前達成核協議?

美國和伊朗在6月30日前達成核協議?

42%

$3M 交易量

$241K today

$53.9K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

72%

$1M 交易量

$169K today

$132K Liq.

Ends 2 個月內

伊朗同意在5月31日前停止濃縮鈾?

伊朗同意在5月31日前停止濃縮鈾?

8%

$1M 交易量

$112K today

$62.3K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

16%

6月30日

$2M 交易量

$96.0K today

$104K Liq.

23

Ends 6 天內

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

10%

$756K 交易量

$80.6K today

$43.3K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

下一次美伊外交會議將在哪裡舉行?

下一次美伊外交會議將在哪裡舉行?

63%

巴基斯坦

$7M 交易量

$487K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

 伊朗同意在6月30日前停止濃縮鈾?

伊朗同意在6月30日前停止濃縮鈾?

25%

$2M 交易量

$37.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

 伊朗同意在12月31日前停止濃縮鈾?

伊朗同意在12月31日前停止濃縮鈾?

55%

$394K 交易量

$49.8K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

86%

$345K 交易量

$152K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

特朗普會在...前訪問巴基斯坦嗎?

特朗普會在...前訪問巴基斯坦嗎?

1%

5月31日

$784K 交易量

$25.9K Liq.

14

Ends 6 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 伊朗停火.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for 伊朗停火 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $320.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 77% chance to 12月31日. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 伊朗停火 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.