US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

70%

December 31

$90M 交易量

$3M today

$2M Liq.

1,471

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

42%

June 30

$447K 交易量

$44.2K Liq.

7

Ends 3 個月內

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

43%

$87.6K 交易量

$21.8K Liq.

4

Ends 3 個月內

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

17%

Leadership Change

$34.3K 交易量

$11.3K Liq.

6

Ends 9 個月內

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

15%

$110K 交易量

$15.1K Liq.

6

Ends 3 個月內

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

13%

$59.2K 交易量

$34.2K Liq.

4

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

9%

April 30

$314K 交易量

$39.6K Liq.

9

Ends 25 天內

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

55%

June 30

$1M 交易量

$107K Liq.

Ends 5 天前

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

46%

No Meeting by June 30

$565K 交易量

$200K Liq.

13

Ends 3 個月內

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

82%

December 31

$14M 交易量

$794K today

$773K Liq.

385

Ends 5 天前

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

69%

June 30

$12M 交易量

$338K today

$597K Liq.

231

Ends 3 個月內

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

11%

$516K 交易量

$139K today

$135K Liq.

11

Ends 大約 2 個月內

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

3%

$307K 交易量

$68.9K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?

Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?

3%

April 10

$147K 交易量

$12.4K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

25%

December 31

$94.5K 交易量

$110K Liq.

1

Ends 9 個月內

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

22%

$970K 交易量

$53.7K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

13%

$170K 交易量

$28.2K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

5%

$211K 交易量

$95.4K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

14%

$504 交易量

$13.1K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

28%

$1.3K 交易量

$20.3K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 伊朗停火.

Polymarket currently hosts 121 active markets for 伊朗停火 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US x Iran ceasefire by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $121.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran ceasefire by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran ceasefire by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 70% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 伊朗停火 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.