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伊朗停火 預測與賠率

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美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?

美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?

78%

12月31日

$168M 交易量

$18M today

$2M Liq.

3,799

Ends 7 個月內

伊朗停火持續到... ?

伊朗停火持續到... ?

100%

May 23

$21M 交易量

$6M today

$683K Liq.

199

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

72%

June 7

$3M 交易量

$3M today

$349K Liq.

145

美國通過...獲得伊朗濃縮鈾?

美國通過...獲得伊朗濃縮鈾?

26%

12月31日

$20M 交易量

$1M today

$520K Liq.

181

Ends 7 個月內

伊朗同意在…前交出濃縮鈾庫存?

伊朗同意在…前交出濃縮鈾庫存?

55%

12月31日

$10M 交易量

$1M today

$170K Liq.

161

Ends 7 個月內

特朗普宣布美國解除對霍爾木茲的封鎖... ?

特朗普宣布美國解除對霍爾木茲的封鎖... ?

74%

6月30日

$21M 交易量

$893K today

$155K Liq.

499

Ends 大約 1 個月內

到5月31日,特朗普會同意伊朗的哪些要求?

到5月31日,特朗普會同意伊朗的哪些要求?

48%

石油制裁解除

$5M 交易量

$888K today

$237K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

26%

$2M 交易量

$719K today

$37.9K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

美國x伊朗的外交會議在... ?

美國x伊朗的外交會議在... ?

88%

7月31日

$40M 交易量

$719K today

$254K Liq.

6

Ends 25 天前

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

9%

May 31

$870K 交易量

$571K today

$50.6K Liq.

39

Ends 6 天內

美國和伊朗在6月30日前達成核協議?

美國和伊朗在6月30日前達成核協議?

40%

$3M 交易量

$325K today

$50.4K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

伊朗同意在5月31日前停止濃縮鈾?

伊朗同意在5月31日前停止濃縮鈾?

9%

$1M 交易量

$278K today

$50.0K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

66%

$1M 交易量

$273K today

$120K Liq.

Ends 2 個月內

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

17%

$734K 交易量

$145K today

$33.6K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

17%

6月30日

$2M 交易量

$142K today

$94.4K Liq.

23

Ends 6 天內

下一次美伊外交會議將在哪裡舉行?

下一次美伊外交會議將在哪裡舉行?

66%

巴基斯坦

$7M 交易量

$99.8K today

$517K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

 伊朗同意在12月31日前停止濃縮鈾?

伊朗同意在12月31日前停止濃縮鈾?

42%

$386K 交易量

$79.8K today

$55.2K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

以色列在……前撤出黎巴嫩?

以色列在……前撤出黎巴嫩?

37%

July 31

$2M 交易量

$78.3K today

$95.4K Liq.

17

Ends 大約 1 個月內

 伊朗同意在6月30日前停止濃縮鈾?

伊朗同意在6月30日前停止濃縮鈾?

17%

$2M 交易量

$75.1K today

$39.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

82%

$330K 交易量

$58.8K today

$137K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 伊朗停火.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for 伊朗停火 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $310.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “美國x伊朗永久和平協議由... ?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 78% chance to 12月31日. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 伊朗停火 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.