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協議 預測與賠率

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

52%

December 31

$3M 交易量

$309K today

$244K Liq.

96

Ends 7 個月內

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

6%

$15.1K 交易量

$11.2K Liq.

Ends 10 天內

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

9%

$4.7K 交易量

$15.8K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

70%

$14.1K 交易量

$16.6K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

3%

June 30

$8M 交易量

$14.0K Liq.

122

Ends 5 個月前

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

70%

July 31

$25M 交易量

$712K today

$585K Liq.

334

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

32%

Somaliland

$684K 交易量

$126K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

3%

June 30

$600K 交易量

$15.0K Liq.

37

Ends 25 天內

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

66%

$2M 交易量

$112K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

41%

$131K 交易量

$70.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

28%

$5M 交易量

$272K today

$135K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

15%

$8.5K 交易量

$15.3K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?

22%

June 30

$150K 交易量

$108 Liq.

31

Ends 25 天內

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by...?

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by...?

100%

June 7

$3M 交易量

$2M today

$1M Liq.

200

Ends 25 天內

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

3%

$28.4K 交易量

$4.7K Liq.

2

Ends 7 個月內

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

11%

June 30

$2M 交易量

$61.0K today

$122K Liq.

85

Ends 5 天前

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

1%

$160K 交易量

$19.8K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

34%

Mexico

$335K 交易量

$148K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

86%

Cursor

$18M 交易量

$81.4K Liq.

23

Ends 7 個月內

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

35%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$566K 交易量

$277K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 協議.

Polymarket currently hosts 151 active markets for 協議 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $69.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 70% chance to July 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 協議 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.