Market icon
政治·烏克蘭

Zelenskyy在2026年底出任烏克蘭總統？

Market icon
政治·烏克蘭

Zelenskyy在2026年底出任烏克蘭總統？

6月 30

12月 31

6月 30

12月 31

是

20% 機率
Polymarket

$2,023,675 交易量

是

20% 機率
Polymarket

$2,023,675 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices an 80.5% implied probability against Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy leaving office by December 31, 2026, driven by ongoing martial law extensions barring presidential elections amid Russia's invasion. Parliament most recently extended martial law to May 4, with Zelenskyy's electoral commission defying US pressure by ruling out 2026 polls until six months post-ceasefire (March 19 announcement). Constitutional provisions allow Zelenskyy to remain until a successor is elected, reinforced by no resignation signals despite Trump administration pushes for territorial concessions and peace talks. Recent military successes and diplomatic maneuvering, including Zelenskyy's March 22 call for allied pressure on Russia ahead of US negotiations, underscore sustained wartime leadership absent de-escalation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,023,675
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

結算方

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices an 80.5% implied probability against Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy leaving office by December 31, 2026, driven by ongoing martial law extensions barring presidential elections amid Russia's invasion. Parliament most recently extended martial law to May 4, with Zelenskyy's electoral commission defying US pressure by ruling out 2026 polls until six months post-ceasefire (March 19 announcement). Constitutional provisions allow Zelenskyy to remain until a successor is elected, reinforced by no resignation signals despite Trump administration pushes for territorial concessions and peace talks. Recent military successes and diplomatic maneuvering, including Zelenskyy's March 22 call for allied pressure on Russia ahead of US negotiations, underscore sustained wartime leadership absent de-escalation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,023,675
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

結算方

0x157Ce2d67...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Zelenskyy在2026年底出任烏克蘭總統？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "澤連斯基是否會在2026年底前卸任烏克蘭總統？" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Zelenskyy在2026年底出任烏克蘭總統？" has generated $2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Zelenskyy在2026年底出任烏克蘭總統？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Zelenskyy在2026年底出任烏克蘭總統？" is "澤連斯基是否會在2026年底前卸任烏克蘭總統？" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Zelenskyy在2026年底出任烏克蘭總統？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.