Trader consensus reflects a 91% implied probability against US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of substantive progress on early-year proposals amid formidable diplomatic, legal, and constitutional barriers. Rep. Randy Fine's January introduction of the Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act garnered attention but stalled without committee advancement or bipartisan support, while President Trump's Davos speech ruled out force despite prior rhetoric on Arctic security. Denmark's prime minister firmly rejected threats, warning of NATO fallout, and recent US plans to expand military presence on the island—announced days ago—stop short of territorial claims. No other annexation pursuits, such as satirical Canada references, have official traction, underscoring historical precedents where such actions require supermajorities and international consent absent here.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$19,478 交易量
$19,478 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$19,478 交易量
$19,478 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a 91% implied probability against US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of substantive progress on early-year proposals amid formidable diplomatic, legal, and constitutional barriers. Rep. Randy Fine's January introduction of the Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act garnered attention but stalled without committee advancement or bipartisan support, while President Trump's Davos speech ruled out force despite prior rhetoric on Arctic security. Denmark's prime minister firmly rejected threats, warning of NATO fallout, and recent US plans to expand military presence on the island—announced days ago—stop short of territorial claims. No other annexation pursuits, such as satirical Canada references, have official traction, underscoring historical precedents where such actions require supermajorities and international consent absent here.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
交易量
$19,478結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a 91% implied probability against US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of substantive progress on early-year proposals amid formidable diplomatic, legal, and constitutional barriers. Rep. Randy Fine's January introduction of the Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act garnered attention but stalled without committee advancement or bipartisan support, while President Trump's Davos speech ruled out force despite prior rhetoric on Arctic security. Denmark's prime minister firmly rejected threats, warning of NATO fallout, and recent US plans to expand military presence on the island—announced days ago—stop short of territorial claims. No other annexation pursuits, such as satirical Canada references, have official traction, underscoring historical precedents where such actions require supermajorities and international consent absent here.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$19,478結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 91% implied probability against US annexation of any territory in 2026, driven by the absence of substantive progress on early-year proposals amid formidable diplomatic, legal, and constitutional barriers. Rep. Randy Fine's January introduction of the Greenland Annexation and Statehood Act garnered attention but stalled without committee advancement or bipartisan support, while President Trump's Davos speech ruled out force despite prior rhetoric on Arctic security. Denmark's prime minister firmly rejected threats, warning of NATO fallout, and recent US plans to expand military presence on the island—announced days ago—stop short of territorial claims. No other annexation pursuits, such as satirical Canada references, have official traction, underscoring historical precedents where such actions require supermajorities and international consent absent here.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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