Russian forces have intensified mechanized assaults toward Borova in Kharkiv Oblast as part of their Spring-Summer 2026 offensive launched around mid-March, aiming to breach Ukrainian defenses in the Lyman-Borova sector after reaching the Oskil River and splitting Ukrainian bridgeheads. Ukrainian 3rd Army Corps reported repelling one of the largest Russian pushes on March 19, involving over 500 troops, 28 armored vehicles, and 100 motorcycles across seven axes, inflicting heavy casualties without allowing penetration into Borova itself. ISW assessments through April 1 confirm no confirmed Russian advances despite continued attacks near Borivska Andriivka and Novoplatonivka, with Ukrainian forces holding firm amid poor weather limiting operations. Traders watch for renewed Russian envelopment attempts by 1st Tank Army and 20th/25th Combined Arms Armies, potential aid impacts, and foliage cover enabling infiltration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$135,422 交易量
4月30日
8%
$135,422 交易量
4月30日
8%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Borova is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Feb 19, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of Borova is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have intensified mechanized assaults toward Borova in Kharkiv Oblast as part of their Spring-Summer 2026 offensive launched around mid-March, aiming to breach Ukrainian defenses in the Lyman-Borova sector after reaching the Oskil River and splitting Ukrainian bridgeheads. Ukrainian 3rd Army Corps reported repelling one of the largest Russian pushes on March 19, involving over 500 troops, 28 armored vehicles, and 100 motorcycles across seven axes, inflicting heavy casualties without allowing penetration into Borova itself. ISW assessments through April 1 confirm no confirmed Russian advances despite continued attacks near Borivska Andriivka and Novoplatonivka, with Ukrainian forces holding firm amid poor weather limiting operations. Traders watch for renewed Russian envelopment attempts by 1st Tank Army and 20th/25th Combined Arms Armies, potential aid impacts, and foliage cover enabling infiltration.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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