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地緣政治·俄羅斯佔領

Will Russia capture Yampil' by...?

Market icon
地緣政治·俄羅斯佔領

Will Russia capture Yampil' by...?

$312,454 交易量

Oct 31, 2025
Polymarket

$312,454 交易量

Polymarket

October 31

$90,385 交易量

No

November 30

$222,068 交易量

Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Slavy Ploshcha Volytsia x Pryozerna Volytsia in Yampil', Donetsk Oblast province, by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'1.png Intersection Location in Yampil': https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'2.png Yampil' Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/xU3HDneXX384ce4w6 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Slavy Ploshcha Volytsia x Pryozerna Volytsia in Yampil', Donetsk Oblast province, by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'1.png Intersection Location in Yampil': https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'2.png Yampil' Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/xU3HDneXX384ce4w6 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Slavy Ploshcha Volytsia x Pryozerna Volytsia in Yampil', Donetsk Oblast province, by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.

If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'1.png

Intersection Location in Yampil': https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'2.png

Yampil' Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'3.png

Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/xU3HDneXX384ce4w6

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
交易量
$312,454
結束日期
Nov 30, 2025
市場開放時間
Sep 30, 2025, 6:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Slavy Ploshcha Volytsia x Pryozerna Volytsia in Yampil', Donetsk Oblast province, by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'1.png Intersection Location in Yampil': https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'2.png Yampil' Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/xU3HDneXX384ce4w6 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Slavy Ploshcha Volytsia x Pryozerna Volytsia in Yampil', Donetsk Oblast province, by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'1.png Intersection Location in Yampil': https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'2.png Yampil' Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/xU3HDneXX384ce4w6 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection Slavy Ploshcha Volytsia x Pryozerna Volytsia in Yampil', Donetsk Oblast province, by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'1.png Intersection Location in Yampil': https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'2.png Yampil' Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Yampil'3.png Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/xU3HDneXX384ce4w6 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Russia capture Yampil' by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "November 30" at 100%, followed by "October 31" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Russia capture Yampil' by...?" has generated $312.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 30, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Russia capture Yampil' by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Russia capture Yampil' by...?" is "November 30" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "October 31" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Russia capture Yampil' by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.