Trader consensus strongly favors under 8,000 US flight delays on March 25 at 83%, driven by favorable nationwide weather forecasts from NOAA showing minimal severe storms or winter impacts at key airports like Atlanta, Chicago, and Dallas. Recent developments include stabilized FAA air traffic controller staffing after earlier shortages and no system outages since January's NOTAM incident, with real-time FlightAware data indicating below-average disruptions early in the day. Historical Bureau of Transportation Statistics averages for late March hover around 7,000-8,500 delays on calm days, positioning mid-range buckets like 8,000-9,000 as secondary outcomes amid minor tail risks from spring convection in the Southeast. Ongoing monitoring of tarmac waits and carrier performance could shift probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於<8000 86%
8500-9000 12%
8000-8500 12%
9500-10000 12%
<8000
86%
8000-8500
12%
8500-9000
12%
9000-9500
11%
9500-10000
12%
10000-10500
12%
10500-11000
12%
>11000
11%
<8000 86%
8500-9000 12%
8000-8500 12%
9500-10000 12%
<8000
86%
8000-8500
12%
8500-9000
12%
9000-9500
11%
9500-10000
12%
10000-10500
12%
10500-11000
12%
>11000
11%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors under 8,000 US flight delays on March 25 at 83%, driven by favorable nationwide weather forecasts from NOAA showing minimal severe storms or winter impacts at key airports like Atlanta, Chicago, and Dallas. Recent developments include stabilized FAA air traffic controller staffing after earlier shortages and no system outages since January's NOTAM incident, with real-time FlightAware data indicating below-average disruptions early in the day. Historical Bureau of Transportation Statistics averages for late March hover around 7,000-8,500 delays on calm days, positioning mid-range buckets like 8,000-9,000 as secondary outcomes amid minor tail risks from spring convection in the Southeast. Ongoing monitoring of tarmac waits and carrier performance could shift probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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