Diplomatic isolation surrounding Venezuela's disputed July 2024 presidential election continues to suppress trader consensus on high-profile visits by March 31, 2025, with "no one" options leading Polymarket odds amid U.S. sanctions and regional tensions. President Nicolás Maduro's contested victory, rejected by opposition leader Edmundo González and much of the international community, has deterred figures like U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, whose administration signals hardened policy, or Argentina's Javier Milei, a vocal Maduro critic. No official announcements of visits have emerged, while upcoming U.S. inauguration on January 20 and potential OAS deliberations could shift dynamics, though entrenched hostilities favor inaction. Traders weigh low base rates of foreign leader trips during crises.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$13,428 交易量
Dinorah Figuera
47%
理查·格瑞內爾
46%
Karoline Leavitt
31%
Pete Hegseth
25%
丹·凱恩
25%
Edmundo González Urrutia
12%
埃馬紐埃爾·馬克龍
11%
基爾·斯塔默
11%
馬可·魯比奧
7%
JD Vance
9%
瑪麗亞·科琳娜·馬查多
5%
賈里德·庫什納
12%
唐納·川普
2%
Larry Fink
31%
查爾斯·邁爾斯
58%
尼古拉斯·馬杜羅
33%
Jamie Dimon
49%
$13,428 交易量
Dinorah Figuera
47%
理查·格瑞內爾
46%
Karoline Leavitt
31%
Pete Hegseth
25%
丹·凱恩
25%
Edmundo González Urrutia
12%
埃馬紐埃爾·馬克龍
11%
基爾·斯塔默
11%
馬可·魯比奧
7%
JD Vance
9%
瑪麗亞·科琳娜·馬查多
5%
賈里德·庫什納
12%
唐納·川普
2%
Larry Fink
31%
查爾斯·邁爾斯
58%
尼古拉斯·馬杜羅
33%
Jamie Dimon
49%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Jan 4, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic isolation surrounding Venezuela's disputed July 2024 presidential election continues to suppress trader consensus on high-profile visits by March 31, 2025, with "no one" options leading Polymarket odds amid U.S. sanctions and regional tensions. President Nicolás Maduro's contested victory, rejected by opposition leader Edmundo González and much of the international community, has deterred figures like U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, whose administration signals hardened policy, or Argentina's Javier Milei, a vocal Maduro critic. No official announcements of visits have emerged, while upcoming U.S. inauguration on January 20 and potential OAS deliberations could shift dynamics, though entrenched hostilities favor inaction. Traders weigh low base rates of foreign leader trips during crises.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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