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政治·主要

誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？

Market icon
政治·主要

誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？

$47,045 交易量

2026-08-18
Polymarket

$47,045 交易量

Polymarket

湯姆·貝吉奇

$6,996 交易量

80%

Bernadette Wilson

$13,820 交易量

63%

戴夫·布朗森

$1,501 交易量

51%

Click Bishop

$0 交易量

44%

Treg Taylor

$0 交易量

41%

亞當·克拉姆

$0 交易量

21%

南希·達爾斯特倫

$11,282 交易量

18%

Hank Kroll

$0 交易量

14%

Matt Claman

$0 交易量

11%

馬特·海拉拉

$2,602 交易量

11%

埃德娜·德弗里斯

$10,843 交易量

10%

雪莉·休斯

$0 交易量

9%

詹姆斯·帕金

$0 交易量

6%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.In Alaska's open top-four gubernatorial primary on August 18, trader consensus strongly favors former Democratic Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich to advance at 80% implied probability, driven by his leading 22% in a February Lake Research poll amid 23% undecideds and family political name recognition as uncle to Rep. Nick Begich. Republican businesswoman Bernadette Wilson follows at 73%, buoyed by robust early fundraising reported in February, while ex-Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson (53%) and former Sen. Click Bishop (56%) benefit from local profiles in a splintered GOP field of over a dozen candidates. Recent filings like independent attorney Gregg Brelsford's on March 27 underscore the crowded race post-term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy; the June 1 filing deadline looms as a potential catalyst for endorsements or withdrawals that could reshape vote shares.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
交易量
$47,045
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.In Alaska's open top-four gubernatorial primary on August 18, trader consensus strongly favors former Democratic Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich to advance at 80% implied probability, driven by his leading 22% in a February Lake Research poll amid 23% undecideds and family political name recognition as uncle to Rep. Nick Begich. Republican businesswoman Bernadette Wilson follows at 73%, buoyed by robust early fundraising reported in February, while ex-Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson (53%) and former Sen. Click Bishop (56%) benefit from local profiles in a splintered GOP field of over a dozen candidates. Recent filings like independent attorney Gregg Brelsford's on March 27 underscore the crowded race post-term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy; the June 1 filing deadline looms as a potential catalyst for endorsements or withdrawals that could reshape vote shares.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
交易量
$47,045
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "湯姆·貝吉奇" at 80%, followed by "Bernadette Wilson" at 63%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？" has generated $47K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？" is "湯姆·貝吉奇" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bernadette Wilson" at 63%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將從阿拉斯加州州長初選中晉升？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.