Unsealed court documents from the 2024 Giuffre-Maxwell case form the core driver of trader consensus on Epstein Island visitors, naming over 150 associates like Bill Clinton and Prince Andrew based on flight logs and testimonies, though direct island evidence remains sparse for most. Flight records confirm trips by figures including Alan Dershowitz and Ehud Barak, but denials from others like Donald Trump—substantiated by his pre-2004 rift with Epstein—anchor lower probabilities. Recent U.S. election rhetoric has amplified scrutiny without new releases, sustaining uncertainty; traders watch for potential DOJ file disclosures or Maxwell appeal outcomes, which could shift implied odds amid incomplete records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$691,914 交易量
史蒂夫·班農
13%
理查德·布蘭森
12%
伍迪·艾倫
11%
史蒂文·蒂施
10%
Noam Chomsky
10%
Deepak Chopra
10%
哈維·溫斯坦
9%
比爾·蓋茲
8%
比爾·克林頓
8%
凱文·史貝西
8%
唐納德·川普
6%
比爾·考斯比
5%
Jay-Z
4%
埃隆·馬斯克
4%
希拉蕊·柯林頓
4%
麥可·傑克森
4%
彼得·阿提亞
4%
馬可·魯比奧
1%
$691,914 交易量
史蒂夫·班農
13%
理查德·布蘭森
12%
伍迪·艾倫
11%
史蒂文·蒂施
10%
Noam Chomsky
10%
Deepak Chopra
10%
哈維·溫斯坦
9%
比爾·蓋茲
8%
比爾·克林頓
8%
凱文·史貝西
8%
唐納德·川普
6%
比爾·考斯比
5%
Jay-Z
4%
埃隆·馬斯克
4%
希拉蕊·柯林頓
4%
麥可·傑克森
4%
彼得·阿提亞
4%
馬可·魯比奧
1%
This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Unsealed court documents from the 2024 Giuffre-Maxwell case form the core driver of trader consensus on Epstein Island visitors, naming over 150 associates like Bill Clinton and Prince Andrew based on flight logs and testimonies, though direct island evidence remains sparse for most. Flight records confirm trips by figures including Alan Dershowitz and Ehud Barak, but denials from others like Donald Trump—substantiated by his pre-2004 rift with Epstein—anchor lower probabilities. Recent U.S. election rhetoric has amplified scrutiny without new releases, sustaining uncertainty; traders watch for potential DOJ file disclosures or Maxwell appeal outcomes, which could shift implied odds amid incomplete records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions