西維吉尼亞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

Name: 西維吉尼亞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者
Start: 2025-12-16T01:37:50.398Z
End: 2026-05-12T00:00:00.000Z

政治·主要

西維吉尼亞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

傑弗瑞·凱斯勒 74%

薩卡里·施魯斯伯里 17%

瑞秋·安德森 5%

桑頓·庫珀 3.4%

$34,035 交易量

May 12, 2026

傑弗瑞·凱斯勒

$18,271 交易量

74%

薩卡里·施魯斯伯里

$11,736 交易量

17%

瑞秋·安德森

$0 交易量

桑頓·庫珀

$4,029 交易量

里奧·菲利普斯

$0 交易量

<1%

傑弗瑞·凱斯勒 74%

薩卡里·施魯斯伯里 17%

瑞秋·安德森 5%

桑頓·庫珀 3.4%

$34,035 交易量

May 12, 2026

傑弗瑞·凱斯勒

$18,271 交易量

74%

薩卡里·施魯斯伯里

$11,736 交易量

17%

瑞秋·安德森

$0 交易量

桑頓·庫珀

$4,029 交易量

里奧·菲利普斯

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from West Virginia. If no 2026 West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Recent Public Policy Polling from late April shows Jeffrey Kessler leading the West Virginia Democratic US Senate primary at 47%, well ahead of Zachary Shrewsbury's 12%, anchoring trader consensus with Kessler at 74% implied probability ahead of the May 14 contest for the open seat left by retiring Sen. Joe Manchin. Kessler's edge stems from his experience as former state House Speaker and senator, boosting name recognition and establishment support among voters in the solidly Republican state. Shrewsbury, a Wheeling City Councilman appealing to progressives, holds 17% odds reflecting his distant second-place polling. Low-single-digit prices for Rachel Anderson, Thornton Cooper, and others align with their limited visibility, though undecided voters could shift dynamics before ballots close.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 26, 2026, 11:43 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"西維吉尼亞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "傑弗瑞·凱斯勒" at 74%, followed by "薩卡里·施魯斯伯里" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "西維吉尼亞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $34K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "西維吉尼亞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "西維吉尼亞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "傑弗瑞·凱斯勒" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "薩卡里·施魯斯伯里" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "西維吉尼亞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "西維吉尼亞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $34K traded on “西維吉尼亞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "西維吉尼亞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 74¢ for "傑弗瑞·凱斯勒" in the "西維吉尼亞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 74% chance that "傑弗瑞·凱斯勒" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 74¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 26¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "西維吉尼亞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" market is scheduled to resolve on or around May 12, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "西維吉尼亞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "西維吉尼亞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

西維吉尼亞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

西維吉尼亞州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

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