Incumbent Republican Charles Fleischmann holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 3rd congressional district, where the R+18 Partisan Voter Index and unanimous "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect the district's consistent Republican performance in recent presidential cycles. The August 2026 primaries confirmed Fleischmann's nomination and Democrat Anna Golladay's, following mid-decade redistricting that further strengthened GOP margins across Tennessee's map. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major recent developments that would alter the outlook. Late-breaking national shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the implied probability before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$37,273 交易量
$37,273 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
95%
民主黨
6%
$37,273 交易量
$37,273 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$20,731 交易量
95%
民主黨
$16,542 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Charles Fleischmann holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 3rd congressional district, where the R+18 Partisan Voter Index and unanimous "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect the district's consistent Republican performance in recent presidential cycles. The August 2026 primaries confirmed Fleischmann's nomination and Democrat Anna Golladay's, following mid-decade redistricting that further strengthened GOP margins across Tennessee's map. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major recent developments that would alter the outlook. Late-breaking national shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the implied probability before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$37,273結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Charles Fleischmann holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 3rd congressional district, where the R+18 Partisan Voter Index and unanimous "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect the district's consistent Republican performance in recent presidential cycles. The August 2026 primaries confirmed Fleischmann's nomination and Democrat Anna Golladay's, following mid-decade redistricting that further strengthened GOP margins across Tennessee's map. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major recent developments that would alter the outlook. Late-breaking national shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the implied probability before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$37,273結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Republican Charles Fleischmann holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 3rd congressional district, where the R+18 Partisan Voter Index and unanimous "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect the district's consistent Republican performance in recent presidential cycles. The August 2026 primaries confirmed Fleischmann's nomination and Democrat Anna Golladay's, following mid-decade redistricting that further strengthened GOP margins across Tennessee's map. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major recent developments that would alter the outlook. Late-breaking national shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the implied probability before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions