Tennessee's deeply Republican political landscape, with no Democratic statewide victory since 2006 and GOP control of all statewide offices plus 92 of 95 counties, drives trader consensus to 91.5% odds for a Republican governor in the November 3, 2026, election. Recent March 2026 polls, including VictoryPhones (March 18-24) showing U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn at 56% in the GOP primary versus 14% for Rep. John Rose and Cygnal at 58%, solidify her frontrunner status ahead of the August 6 primaries, reinforcing expectations of a strong nominee. Democrats field fragmented candidates like Jerri Green without competitive polling. Late-breaking GOP scandals, nominee health issues, or an improbable national Democratic wave could challenge this, though forecasters rate the race Solid Republican.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
Republican
91%

Democrat
6%

Republican
91%

Democrat
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's deeply Republican political landscape, with no Democratic statewide victory since 2006 and GOP control of all statewide offices plus 92 of 95 counties, drives trader consensus to 91.5% odds for a Republican governor in the November 3, 2026, election. Recent March 2026 polls, including VictoryPhones (March 18-24) showing U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn at 56% in the GOP primary versus 14% for Rep. John Rose and Cygnal at 58%, solidify her frontrunner status ahead of the August 6 primaries, reinforcing expectations of a strong nominee. Democrats field fragmented candidates like Jerri Green without competitive polling. Late-breaking GOP scandals, nominee health issues, or an improbable national Democratic wave could challenge this, though forecasters rate the race Solid Republican.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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