Trader sentiment on South Africa's 2026 annual headline CPI clusters tightly around the 3.2-4.1% range, with 3.8-4.1% leading at 43.3% implied probability, reflecting the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) March 2026 Monetary Policy Committee decision to hold the repo rate at 6.75% amid revised near-term forecasts showing a Q2 peak of 4.3% driven by an 8.76% Eskom electricity tariff hike effective April 1 and fuel inflation exceeding 18% from global oil spikes. February's CPI eased to 3.0% year-on-year, bolstering lower bins like 3.2-3.5% at 33.9%, but sticky services inflation and >5.0% risks at 31.6% highlight competitive dynamics, with March CPI data due April 22 potentially swaying positioning toward SARB's projected Q2 average of 4%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3.8-4.1% 42.5%
4.7-5.0% 39%
2.6-2.9% 8.9%
3.5-3.8% 7.1%
$19,704 交易量
$19,704 交易量
2027-01-20
低於2.6%
3%
2.6-2.9%
10%
2.9-3.2%
12%
3.2-3.5%
33%
3.5-3.8%
20%
3.8-4.1%
43%
4.1-4.4%
20%
4.4-4.7%
30%
4.7-5.0%
28%
>5.0%
34%
3.8-4.1% 42.5%
4.7-5.0% 39%
2.6-2.9% 8.9%
3.5-3.8% 7.1%
$19,704 交易量
$19,704 交易量
2027-01-20
低於2.6%
$0 交易量
3%
2.6-2.9%
$0 交易量
10%
2.9-3.2%
$0 交易量
12%
3.2-3.5%
$0 交易量
33%
3.5-3.8%
$428 交易量
20%
3.8-4.1%
$633 交易量
43%
4.1-4.4%
$458 交易量
20%
4.4-4.7%
$12,063 交易量
30%
4.7-5.0%
$318 交易量
28%
>5.0%
$5,804 交易量
34%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Trader sentiment on South Africa's 2026 annual headline CPI clusters tightly around the 3.2-4.1% range, with 3.8-4.1% leading at 43.3% implied probability, reflecting the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) March 2026 Monetary Policy Committee decision to hold the repo rate at 6.75% amid revised near-term forecasts showing a Q2 peak of 4.3% driven by an 8.76% Eskom electricity tariff hike effective April 1 and fuel inflation exceeding 18% from global oil spikes. February's CPI eased to 3.0% year-on-year, bolstering lower bins like 3.2-3.5% at 33.9%, but sticky services inflation and >5.0% risks at 31.6% highlight competitive dynamics, with March CPI data due April 22 potentially swaying positioning toward SARB's projected Q2 average of 4%.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
市場開放時間： Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
交易量
$19,704結束日期
2027-01-20市場開放時間
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874Trader sentiment on South Africa's 2026 annual headline CPI clusters tightly around the 3.2-4.1% range, with 3.8-4.1% leading at 43.3% implied probability, reflecting the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) March 2026 Monetary Policy Committee decision to hold the repo rate at 6.75% amid revised near-term forecasts showing a Q2 peak of 4.3% driven by an 8.76% Eskom electricity tariff hike effective April 1 and fuel inflation exceeding 18% from global oil spikes. February's CPI eased to 3.0% year-on-year, bolstering lower bins like 3.2-3.5% at 33.9%, but sticky services inflation and >5.0% risks at 31.6% highlight competitive dynamics, with March CPI data due April 22 potentially swaying positioning toward SARB's projected Q2 average of 4%.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
交易量
$19,704結束日期
2027-01-20市場開放時間
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on South Africa's 2026 annual headline CPI clusters tightly around the 3.2-4.1% range, with 3.8-4.1% leading at 43.3% implied probability, reflecting the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) March 2026 Monetary Policy Committee decision to hold the repo rate at 6.75% amid revised near-term forecasts showing a Q2 peak of 4.3% driven by an 8.76% Eskom electricity tariff hike effective April 1 and fuel inflation exceeding 18% from global oil spikes. February's CPI eased to 3.0% year-on-year, bolstering lower bins like 3.2-3.5% at 33.9%, but sticky services inflation and >5.0% risks at 31.6% highlight competitive dynamics, with March CPI data due April 22 potentially swaying positioning toward SARB's projected Q2 average of 4%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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