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政治·美國大選

2028年共和黨總統提名人

Market icon
政治·美國大選

2028年共和黨總統提名人

J.D. Vance 36.9%

馬可·魯比奧 19.7%

塔克·卡爾森 4.7%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯 2.6%

Polymarket

$519,301,349 交易量

J.D. Vance 36.9%

馬可·魯比奧 19.7%

塔克·卡爾森 4.7%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯 2.6%

Polymarket

$519,301,349 交易量

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J.D. Vance

$9,889,828 交易量

37%

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馬可·魯比奧

$6,872,248 交易量

20%

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塔克·卡爾森

$7,482,805 交易量

5%

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羅恩·德桑蒂斯

$10,130,612 交易量

3%

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唐納德·川普

$6,580,278 交易量

2%

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唐納·川普二世

$6,015,634 交易量

2%

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托馬斯·馬西

$2,938,076 交易量

2%

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格倫·楊金

$5,688,612 交易量

2%

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蘭德·保羅

$16,467,816 交易量

1%

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維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米

$12,997,207 交易量

1%

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伊萬卡·特朗普

$5,475,583 交易量

1%

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圖爾西·加巴德

$10,844,017 交易量

1%

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伊隆·馬斯克

$23,915,362 交易量

1%

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妮基·黑利

$7,673,920 交易量

1%

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泰德·克魯茲

$14,688,840 交易量

1%

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瑪喬麗·泰勒·格林

$4,124,248 交易量

1%

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Greg Abbott

$17,631,155 交易量

1%

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布萊恩·坎普

$13,318,513 交易量

1%

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Eric Trump

$4,412,135 交易量

1%

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莎拉·哈卡比·桑德斯

$28,344,043 交易量

1%

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羅伯特·F·甘迺迪二世

$11,281,570 交易量

1%

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喬什·霍利

$16,485,676 交易量

1%

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凱蒂·布瑞特

$24,849,023 交易量

1%

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湯姆·布雷迪

$28,757,567 交易量

1%

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馬特·蓋茨

$15,563,032 交易量

1%

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皮特·赫格塞思

$2,339,091 交易量

1%

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伊莉絲·斯特凡尼克

$22,234,929 交易量

1%

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約翰·圖恩

$29,692,150 交易量

1%

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克里斯蒂·諾姆

$29,015,479 交易量

1%

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喬·肯特

$2,574,245 交易量

1%

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史蒂夫·班農

$15,712,488 交易量

1%

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金·卡戴珊

$23,766,861 交易量

1%

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拜倫·唐納茲

$34,409,011 交易量

1%

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Erika Kirk

$12,287,798 交易量

1%

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邁克·彭斯

$34,842,644 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, reflecting his high-profile "Make America Healthy Again" initiatives and national health tour, despite a federal judge blocking vaccine policy adjustments on March 16. Vice President J.D. Vance follows at 37%, buoyed by topping a recent CPAC straw poll but tempered by his ambiguous stance on a potential run amid differing postures on the ongoing Iran war. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20% share has surged from reports of GOP donors overwhelmingly favoring him over Vance in informal Trump polling and his central role in Iran diplomacy, highlighting early jockeying among Trump cabinet members ahead of 2026 midterms.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$519,301,349
結束日期
2028-11-07
市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leads trader consensus at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, reflecting his high-profile "Make America Healthy Again" initiatives and national health tour, despite a federal judge blocking vaccine policy adjustments on March 16. Vice President J.D. Vance follows at 37%, buoyed by topping a recent CPAC straw poll but tempered by his ambiguous stance on a potential run amid differing postures on the ongoing Iran war. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20% share has surged from reports of GOP donors overwhelmingly favoring him over Vance in informal Trump polling and his central role in Iran diplomacy, highlighting early jockeying among Trump cabinet members ahead of 2026 midterms.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$519,301,349
結束日期
2028-11-07
市場開放時間
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年共和黨總統提名人" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, followed by "馬可·魯比奧" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年共和黨總統提名人" has generated $519.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年共和黨總統提名人," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年共和黨總統提名人" is "J.D. Vance" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "馬可·魯比奧" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年共和黨總統提名人" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.