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政治·主要

賓夕法尼亞州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

賓夕法尼亞州州長共和黨初選獲勝者

Stacy Garrity 90.2%

約翰·范特雷 2.8%

道格·馬斯特里亞諾 1.6%

Polymarket
最新

Stacy Garrity 90.2%

約翰·范特雷 2.8%

道格·馬斯特里亞諾 1.6%

Polymarket
最新

Stacy Garrity

$1,700 交易量

90%

約翰·范特雷

$268 交易量

3%

道格·馬斯特里亞諾

$6,086 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Pennsylvania, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Pennsylvania Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Treasurer Stacy Garrity dominates trader consensus at 89% implied probability as the sole Republican on the Pennsylvania gubernatorial primary ballot for May 19, bolstered by the state party's early endorsement in September 2025 and President Trump's backing following a recent Mar-a-Lago fundraiser. Her filing of over 30,000 petition signatures underscores broad grassroots support across counties, positioning her to avoid the fractured 2022 primary that propelled Doug Mastriano to nomination. A nascent write-in campaign for Mastriano, launched April 2 by the Walk With Free People group, has drawn limited buzz but trades at 2%, hampered by his prior general election underperformance. John Ventre, who shifted to the lieutenant governor primary, lingers at 3% amid negligible write-in prospects. With six weeks until polls close, GOP unity behind Garrity reflects strategic caution ahead of the November general against incumbent Gov. Josh Shapiro.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Pennsylvania, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Pennsylvania Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$8,054
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 11:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Pennsylvania, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Pennsylvania Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Pennsylvania, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Pennsylvania Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Treasurer Stacy Garrity dominates trader consensus at 89% implied probability as the sole Republican on the Pennsylvania gubernatorial primary ballot for May 19, bolstered by the state party's early endorsement in September 2025 and President Trump's backing following a recent Mar-a-Lago fundraiser. Her filing of over 30,000 petition signatures underscores broad grassroots support across counties, positioning her to avoid the fractured 2022 primary that propelled Doug Mastriano to nomination. A nascent write-in campaign for Mastriano, launched April 2 by the Walk With Free People group, has drawn limited buzz but trades at 2%, hampered by his prior general election underperformance. John Ventre, who shifted to the lieutenant governor primary, lingers at 3% amid negligible write-in prospects. With six weeks until polls close, GOP unity behind Garrity reflects strategic caution ahead of the November general against incumbent Gov. Josh Shapiro.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Pennsylvania, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Pennsylvania Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$8,054
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Dec 10, 2025, 11:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Pennsylvania, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Pennsylvania Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"賓夕法尼亞州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Stacy Garrity" at 90%, followed by "約翰·范特雷" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"賓夕法尼亞州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 11, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "賓夕法尼亞州州長共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "賓夕法尼亞州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" is "Stacy Garrity" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "約翰·范特雷" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "賓夕法尼亞州州長共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.