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icon for 佩德羅·桑切斯以西班牙首相的身份出任... ？

佩德羅·桑切斯以西班牙首相的身份出任... ？

icon for 佩德羅·桑切斯以西班牙首相的身份出任... ？

佩德羅·桑切斯以西班牙首相的身份出任... ？

$126,604 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$126,604 交易量

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$81,689 交易量

3%

2026年12月31日

$44,915 交易量

18%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pedro Sánchez remains Spain's Prime Minister leading a minority Socialist (PSOE) government dependent on fragile coalition partners amid persistent corruption scandals implicating allies and himself indirectly, as highlighted by a defendant's April 29 testimony alleging his involvement in a public contracts rigging scheme. Recent PSOE defeats in February's Aragon regional election and prior 2025 regional losses have fueled opposition demands for a snap election or no-confidence vote from the Popular Party (PP) and Vox, yet Sánchez has rejected early polls and affirmed his 2027 re-election bid, buoyed by strong economic growth and international stature on issues like Gaza and Iran. With the next general election due no later than August 2027, traders weigh coalition stability against judicial probes and parliamentary arithmetic, where a viable opposition majority remains elusive absent major escalations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$126,604
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pedro Sánchez remains Spain's Prime Minister leading a minority Socialist (PSOE) government dependent on fragile coalition partners amid persistent corruption scandals implicating allies and himself indirectly, as highlighted by a defendant's April 29 testimony alleging his involvement in a public contracts rigging scheme. Recent PSOE defeats in February's Aragon regional election and prior 2025 regional losses have fueled opposition demands for a snap election or no-confidence vote from the Popular Party (PP) and Vox, yet Sánchez has rejected early polls and affirmed his 2027 re-election bid, buoyed by strong economic growth and international stature on issues like Gaza and Iran. With the next general election due no later than August 2027, traders weigh coalition stability against judicial probes and parliamentary arithmetic, where a viable opposition majority remains elusive absent major escalations.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$126,604
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"佩德羅·桑切斯以西班牙首相的身份出任... ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年12月31日" at 18%, followed by "2026年6月30日" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "佩德羅·桑切斯以西班牙首相的身份出任... ？" has generated $126.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 3, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "佩德羅·桑切斯以西班牙首相的身份出任... ？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "佩德羅·桑切斯以西班牙首相的身份出任... ？" is "2026年12月31日" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2026年6月30日" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "佩德羅·桑切斯以西班牙首相的身份出任... ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.