Market icon
政治·冰

OH-09共和黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·冰

OH-09共和黨初選獲勝者

德瑞克·梅林 55%

麥迪遜·希哈恩 16%

Alea Nadeem 14.5%

Josh Williams 13.6%

Polymarket
最新

德瑞克·梅林 55%

麥迪遜·希哈恩 16%

Alea Nadeem 14.5%

Josh Williams 13.6%

Polymarket
最新

德瑞克·梅林

$2,661 交易量

55%

麥迪遜·希哈恩

$1,861 交易量

16%

Alea Nadeem

$725 交易量

15%

Josh Williams

$699 交易量

14%

雅各布·弗羅斯特

$547 交易量

4%

安東尼·坎貝爾

$428 交易量

1%

韋恩·金塞爾

$351 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors former state Rep. Derek Merrin at 56% implied probability to win Ohio's 9th District Republican primary on May 5, reflecting his strong local name recognition from a narrow 2024 general election loss to incumbent Rep. Marcy Kaptur, robust fundraising with over $600,000 raised and $357,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, and active participation in the March 26 candidate forum hosted by the Northwest Ohio Conservative Coalition. Madison Sheahan holds 16% amid her national profile as ex-ICE deputy director and recent Maggie's List endorsement, tempered by a January residency requirement added by Lucas County Republicans post her entry and her debate absence. Air Force Lt. Col. Alea Nadeem (14.5%) and state Rep. Josh Williams (12.6%) trail with solid fundraising but face challenges from Nadeem's moderate pitch in the R+3 district and resurfaced explicit social media posts hurting Williams, as voter registration closes April 6.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$7,272
結束日期
2026-05-05
市場開放時間
Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors former state Rep. Derek Merrin at 56% implied probability to win Ohio's 9th District Republican primary on May 5, reflecting his strong local name recognition from a narrow 2024 general election loss to incumbent Rep. Marcy Kaptur, robust fundraising with over $600,000 raised and $357,000 cash on hand as of late 2025, and active participation in the March 26 candidate forum hosted by the Northwest Ohio Conservative Coalition. Madison Sheahan holds 16% amid her national profile as ex-ICE deputy director and recent Maggie's List endorsement, tempered by a January residency requirement added by Lucas County Republicans post her entry and her debate absence. Air Force Lt. Col. Alea Nadeem (14.5%) and state Rep. Josh Williams (12.6%) trail with solid fundraising but face challenges from Nadeem's moderate pitch in the R+3 district and resurfaced explicit social media posts hurting Williams, as voter registration closes April 6.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$7,272
結束日期
2026-05-05
市場開放時間
Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"OH-09共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "德瑞克·梅林" at 56%, followed by "麥迪遜·希哈恩" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"OH-09共和黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "OH-09共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "OH-09共和黨初選獲勝者" is "德瑞克·梅林" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "麥迪遜·希哈恩" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "OH-09共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.