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政治·冰

OH-09共和黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·冰

OH-09共和黨初選獲勝者

德瑞克·梅林 60%

Alea Nadeem 24.0%

Josh Williams 18.4%

雅各布·弗羅斯特 17.8%

Polymarket
NEW

德瑞克·梅林 60%

Alea Nadeem 24.0%

Josh Williams 18.4%

雅各布·弗羅斯特 17.8%

Polymarket
NEW

德瑞克·梅林

$0 交易量

60%

Alea Nadeem

$0 交易量

15%

Josh Williams

$0 交易量

14%

雅各布·弗羅斯特

$0 交易量

18%

麥迪遜·希哈恩

$1,631 交易量

17%

安東尼·坎貝爾

$0 交易量

3%

韋恩·金塞爾

$0 交易量

9%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Derek Merrin leads trader consensus at 61% implied probability for the OH-09 Republican primary on May 5, driven by his name recognition from a close 2024 general election loss to incumbent Marcy Kaptur and highest cash-on-hand at $357,000 from Q4 2025 filings. State Rep. Josh Williams trails with strong fundraising ($573,000 total raised) and Majority Whip experience, while former ICE Deputy Director Madison Sheahan holds steady amid Trump administration ties but faces headwinds from a recent Washington Examiner report on wasteful agency spending and Lucas County GOP's new residency endorsement rule imposed after her January entry. No public primary polls exist; upcoming debates could shift the crowded field including Air Force Lt. Col. Alea Nadeem.

Derek Merrin leads trader consensus at 61% implied probability for the OH-09 Republican primary on May 5, driven by his name recognition from a close 2024 general election loss to incumbent Marcy Kaptur and highest cash-on-hand at $357,000 from Q4 2025 filings. State Rep. Josh Williams trails with strong fundraising ($573,000 total raised) and Majority Whip experience, while former ICE Deputy Director Madison Sheahan holds steady amid Trump administration ties but faces headwinds from a recent Washington Examiner report on wasteful agency spending and Lucas County GOP's new residency endorsement rule imposed after her January entry. No public primary polls exist; upcoming debates could shift the crowded field including Air Force Lt. Col. Alea Nadeem.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Derek Merrin leads trader consensus at 61% implied probability for the OH-09 Republican primary on May 5, driven by his name recognition from a close 2024 general election loss to incumbent Marcy Kaptur and highest cash-on-hand at $357,000 from Q4 2025 filings. State Rep. Josh Williams trails with strong fundraising ($573,000 total raised) and Majority Whip experience, while former ICE Deputy Director Madison Sheahan holds steady amid Trump administration ties but faces headwinds from a recent Washington Examiner report on wasteful agency spending and Lucas County GOP's new residency endorsement rule imposed after her January entry. No public primary polls exist; upcoming debates could shift the crowded field including Air Force Lt. Col. Alea Nadeem.

Derek Merrin leads trader consensus at 61% implied probability for the OH-09 Republican primary on May 5, driven by his name recognition from a close 2024 general election loss to incumbent Marcy Kaptur and highest cash-on-hand at $357,000 from Q4 2025 filings. State Rep. Josh Williams trails with strong fundraising ($573,000 total raised) and Majority Whip experience, while former ICE Deputy Director Madison Sheahan holds steady amid Trump administration ties but faces headwinds from a recent Washington Examiner report on wasteful agency spending and Lucas County GOP's new residency endorsement rule imposed after her January entry. No public primary polls exist; upcoming debates could shift the crowded field including Air Force Lt. Col. Alea Nadeem.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"OH-09共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "德瑞克·梅林" at 60%, followed by "雅各布·弗羅斯特" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"OH-09共和黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "OH-09共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "OH-09共和黨初選獲勝者" is "德瑞克·梅林" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "雅各布·弗羅斯特" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "OH-09共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.