Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat's commanding fundraising lead, with over $1.1 million cash on hand as of late 2025, bolsters trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 94% in the safely Democratic NY-13 district, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report amid a D+32 partisan voting index. A crowded but fragmented Democratic primary field—including challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, who raised $137,000—lacks serious threats, while no Republican candidates have filed ahead of the April 6 deadline. The June 23 primary will select the nominee, but district fundamentals ensure heavy Democratic favoritism in the November 3 general election. Late scandals, a surprise GOP contender, or national midterm waves could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$18,991 交易量
$18,991 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
5%
$18,991 交易量
$18,991 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$9,349 交易量
94%
共和黨
$9,643 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat's commanding fundraising lead, with over $1.1 million cash on hand as of late 2025, bolsters trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 94% in the safely Democratic NY-13 district, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report amid a D+32 partisan voting index. A crowded but fragmented Democratic primary field—including challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, who raised $137,000—lacks serious threats, while no Republican candidates have filed ahead of the April 6 deadline. The June 23 primary will select the nominee, but district fundamentals ensure heavy Democratic favoritism in the November 3 general election. Late scandals, a surprise GOP contender, or national midterm waves could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$18,991結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat's commanding fundraising lead, with over $1.1 million cash on hand as of late 2025, bolsters trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 94% in the safely Democratic NY-13 district, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report amid a D+32 partisan voting index. A crowded but fragmented Democratic primary field—including challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, who raised $137,000—lacks serious threats, while no Republican candidates have filed ahead of the April 6 deadline. The June 23 primary will select the nominee, but district fundamentals ensure heavy Democratic favoritism in the November 3 general election. Late scandals, a surprise GOP contender, or national midterm waves could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,991結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat's commanding fundraising lead, with over $1.1 million cash on hand as of late 2025, bolsters trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 94% in the safely Democratic NY-13 district, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report amid a D+32 partisan voting index. A crowded but fragmented Democratic primary field—including challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, who raised $137,000—lacks serious threats, while no Republican candidates have filed ahead of the April 6 deadline. The June 23 primary will select the nominee, but district fundamentals ensure heavy Democratic favoritism in the November 3 general election. Late scandals, a surprise GOP contender, or national midterm waves could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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