Yvette Clarke's commanding position in the NY-09 House race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. As the longtime incumbent representing Brooklyn neighborhoods including Crown Heights and Flatbush, Clarke secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 68% of the vote against two challengers. Her Republican opponent, Joel Anabilah-Azumah, advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a seat where Democratic candidates have routinely exceeded 70% in recent cycles. Trader consensus around 95% for Clarke aligns with these fundamentals, including her fundraising edge and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or extreme national partisan swing could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$60,786 交易量
$60,786 交易量
2026-11-02
伊薇特·克拉克（民主黨）
96%
Joel Anabilah-Azumah（共和黨）
<1%
$60,786 交易量
$60,786 交易量
2026-11-02
伊薇特·克拉克（民主黨）
$19,482 交易量
96%
Joel Anabilah-Azumah（共和黨）
$41,305 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke's commanding position in the NY-09 House race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. As the longtime incumbent representing Brooklyn neighborhoods including Crown Heights and Flatbush, Clarke secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 68% of the vote against two challengers. Her Republican opponent, Joel Anabilah-Azumah, advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a seat where Democratic candidates have routinely exceeded 70% in recent cycles. Trader consensus around 95% for Clarke aligns with these fundamentals, including her fundraising edge and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or extreme national partisan swing could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$60,786結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke's commanding position in the NY-09 House race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. As the longtime incumbent representing Brooklyn neighborhoods including Crown Heights and Flatbush, Clarke secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 68% of the vote against two challengers. Her Republican opponent, Joel Anabilah-Azumah, advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a seat where Democratic candidates have routinely exceeded 70% in recent cycles. Trader consensus around 95% for Clarke aligns with these fundamentals, including her fundraising edge and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or extreme national partisan swing could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$60,786結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETYvette Clarke's commanding position in the NY-09 House race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+22 and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. As the longtime incumbent representing Brooklyn neighborhoods including Crown Heights and Flatbush, Clarke secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 68% of the vote against two challengers. Her Republican opponent, Joel Anabilah-Azumah, advanced unopposed but faces structural headwinds in a seat where Democratic candidates have routinely exceeded 70% in recent cycles. Trader consensus around 95% for Clarke aligns with these fundamentals, including her fundraising edge and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or extreme national partisan swing could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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