**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% to win New York's 9th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's entrenched D+50-plus partisan lean and incumbent Rep. Yvette Clarke's unchallenged dominance in a safely Democratic stronghold.** Clarke, co-chair of the Congressional Black Caucus, secured reelection in 2024 with overwhelming margins amid Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods like Crown Heights and Flatbush that consistently deliver Democratic supermajorities. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics, with no serious Republican challengers announced and generic congressional polls showing Democratic leads nationally. The June 23, 2026, Democratic primary remains a potential flashpoint if a credible intra-party contender surfaces, while unlikely disruptions—such as a Clarke scandal, high-profile GOP recruit, or extreme national midterm swing—could narrow the gap before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
93%
共和黨
5%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
$4,578 交易量
93%
共和黨
$0 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% to win New York's 9th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's entrenched D+50-plus partisan lean and incumbent Rep. Yvette Clarke's unchallenged dominance in a safely Democratic stronghold.** Clarke, co-chair of the Congressional Black Caucus, secured reelection in 2024 with overwhelming margins amid Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods like Crown Heights and Flatbush that consistently deliver Democratic supermajorities. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics, with no serious Republican challengers announced and generic congressional polls showing Democratic leads nationally. The June 23, 2026, Democratic primary remains a potential flashpoint if a credible intra-party contender surfaces, while unlikely disruptions—such as a Clarke scandal, high-profile GOP recruit, or extreme national midterm swing—could narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$4,578結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% to win New York's 9th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's entrenched D+50-plus partisan lean and incumbent Rep. Yvette Clarke's unchallenged dominance in a safely Democratic stronghold.** Clarke, co-chair of the Congressional Black Caucus, secured reelection in 2024 with overwhelming margins amid Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods like Crown Heights and Flatbush that consistently deliver Democratic supermajorities. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics, with no serious Republican challengers announced and generic congressional polls showing Democratic leads nationally. The June 23, 2026, Democratic primary remains a potential flashpoint if a credible intra-party contender surfaces, while unlikely disruptions—such as a Clarke scandal, high-profile GOP recruit, or extreme national midterm swing—could narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,578結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% to win New York's 9th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's entrenched D+50-plus partisan lean and incumbent Rep. Yvette Clarke's unchallenged dominance in a safely Democratic stronghold.** Clarke, co-chair of the Congressional Black Caucus, secured reelection in 2024 with overwhelming margins amid Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods like Crown Heights and Flatbush that consistently deliver Democratic supermajorities. No notable developments have emerged in the past 30 days to shift dynamics, with no serious Republican challengers announced and generic congressional polls showing Democratic leads nationally. The June 23, 2026, Democratic primary remains a potential flashpoint if a credible intra-party contender surfaces, while unlikely disruptions—such as a Clarke scandal, high-profile GOP recruit, or extreme national midterm swing—could narrow the gap before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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