Market icon
選舉·美國大選

紐約州民主黨州長初選獲勝者

Market icon
選舉·美國大選

紐約州民主黨州長初選獲勝者

$47,414 交易量

Polymarket

$47,414 交易量

Market icon

凱西·霍楚

$37,785 交易量

95%

Market icon

安東尼奧·德爾加多

$9,629 交易量

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York. If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Governor Kathy Hochul commands trader consensus at 95% implied probability for the June 23 Democratic primary victory, solidified by Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado's February 10 withdrawal after mounting a left-flank challenge that failed to gain traction. Hochul's resounding endorsement at the February 6 state Democratic convention, coupled with early polls showing her leading Delgado 49%-12%, underscored her incumbency advantage and party machinery support amid no other major challengers emerging. Recent general election focus on Republican contenders like Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman has further cleared her primary path. Upsets remain possible via a late high-profile entrant, scandal, or shifting voter turnout in key Democratic strongholds like New York City.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York.

If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$47,414
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Nov 14, 2025, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York. If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York. If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Governor Kathy Hochul commands trader consensus at 95% implied probability for the June 23 Democratic primary victory, solidified by Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado's February 10 withdrawal after mounting a left-flank challenge that failed to gain traction. Hochul's resounding endorsement at the February 6 state Democratic convention, coupled with early polls showing her leading Delgado 49%-12%, underscored her incumbency advantage and party machinery support amid no other major challengers emerging. Recent general election focus on Republican contenders like Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman has further cleared her primary path. Upsets remain possible via a late high-profile entrant, scandal, or shifting voter turnout in key Democratic strongholds like New York City.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York.

If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$47,414
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Nov 14, 2025, 2:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York. If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"紐約州民主黨州長初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "凱西·霍楚" at 95%, followed by "安東尼奧·德爾加多" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "紐約州民主黨州長初選獲勝者" has generated $47.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 14, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "紐約州民主黨州長初選獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "紐約州民主黨州長初選獲勝者" is "凱西·霍楚" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "安東尼奧·德爾加多" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "紐約州民主黨州長初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.