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政治·主要

MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者

Market icon
政治·主要

MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者

Eric Chung 59%

蒂姆·格雷梅爾 19%

克莉絲蒂娜·海恩斯 18%

Brian Jaye 5.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Eric Chung 59%

蒂姆·格雷梅爾 19%

克莉絲蒂娜·海恩斯 18%

Brian Jaye 5.6%

Polymarket
NEW

Eric Chung

$0 交易量

59%

蒂姆·格雷梅爾

$0 交易量

19%

克莉絲蒂娜·海恩斯

$0 交易量

18%

Brian Jaye

$0 交易量

6%

Tripp Adams

$1,341 交易量

5%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Chung commands 59% trader consensus in the MI-10 Democratic primary market, propelled by his dominant Q2 fundraising—over $650,000 raised and $400,000 cash-on-hand per recent FEC reports—outpacing Tim Greimel ($285,000 raised) and Christina Hines ($220,000), signaling superior organizational strength and electability in the battleground Macomb-Oakland district. Greimel and Hines hold 18.5% and 18% implied probabilities, buoyed by their state legislative records but hampered by financial gaps. Absent recent polls shifting dynamics, Chung's prosecutor background appeals amid local crime concerns. With the August 6 primary nearing, absentee ballots mailed this week could influence turnout among key voting blocs.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$1,341
結束日期
Aug 4, 2026
市場開放時間
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Chung commands 59% trader consensus in the MI-10 Democratic primary market, propelled by his dominant Q2 fundraising—over $650,000 raised and $400,000 cash-on-hand per recent FEC reports—outpacing Tim Greimel ($285,000 raised) and Christina Hines ($220,000), signaling superior organizational strength and electability in the battleground Macomb-Oakland district. Greimel and Hines hold 18.5% and 18% implied probabilities, buoyed by their state legislative records but hampered by financial gaps. Absent recent polls shifting dynamics, Chung's prosecutor background appeals amid local crime concerns. With the August 6 primary nearing, absentee ballots mailed this week could influence turnout among key voting blocs.

Eric Chung commands 59% trader consensus in the MI-10 Democratic primary market, propelled by his dominant Q2 fundraising—over $650,000 raised and $400,000 cash-on-hand per recent FEC reports—outpacing Tim Greimel ($285,000 raised) and Christina Hines ($220,000), signaling superior organizational strength and electability in the battleground Macomb-Oakland district. Greimel and Hines hold 18.5% and 18% implied probabilities, buoyed by their state legislative records but hampered by financial gaps. Absent recent polls shifting dynamics, Chung's prosecutor background appeals amid local crime concerns. With the August 6 primary nearing, absentee ballots mailed this week could influence turnout among key voting blocs.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eric Chung" at 59%, followed by "蒂姆·格雷梅爾" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Eric Chung" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "蒂姆·格雷梅爾" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-10民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.