Polymarket traders price Mexico's 2026 annual headline inflation in a tight contest across the 3.50%-4.99% range, with 4.00%-4.49% leading at 32.5%, 3.50%-3.99% at 30.0%, and 4.50%-4.99% at 28.0%, reflecting competing forces of persistent price pressures and central bank easing. February's consumer price index rose to 4.02% year-over-year—exceeding forecasts of 3.94%—while first-half March accelerated to 4.63% amid supply shocks, tempering optimism despite core inflation holding near 4.5%. Banco de México's dovish March 26 rate cut to 6.75% and unchanged 3.5% end-2026 forecast anchor lower bins, but rising inflation expectations introduce upside risks ahead of full March CPI data expected early April and the next policy meeting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於4.00%至4.49% 32%
4.50%到4.99% 31%
3.50%至3.99% 30%
5.00%至5.49% 26.3%
$33,904 交易量
$33,904 交易量
2027-01-08
低於2.50%
5%
2.50%至2.99%
3%
3.00% 至 3.49%
20%
3.50%至3.99%
30%
4.00%至4.49%
32%
4.50%到4.99%
31%
5.00%至5.49%
17%
5.50% 以上
8%
4.00%至4.49% 32%
4.50%到4.99% 31%
3.50%至3.99% 30%
5.00%至5.49% 26.3%
$33,904 交易量
$33,904 交易量
2027-01-08
低於2.50%
$0 交易量
5%
2.50%至2.99%
$0 交易量
3%
3.00% 至 3.49%
$25,641 交易量
20%
3.50%至3.99%
$250 交易量
30%
4.00%至4.49%
$346 交易量
32%
4.50%到4.99%
$2,995 交易量
31%
5.00%至5.49%
$356 交易量
17%
5.50% 以上
$4,316 交易量
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioPolymarket traders price Mexico's 2026 annual headline inflation in a tight contest across the 3.50%-4.99% range, with 4.00%-4.49% leading at 32.5%, 3.50%-3.99% at 30.0%, and 4.50%-4.99% at 28.0%, reflecting competing forces of persistent price pressures and central bank easing. February's consumer price index rose to 4.02% year-over-year—exceeding forecasts of 3.94%—while first-half March accelerated to 4.63% amid supply shocks, tempering optimism despite core inflation holding near 4.5%. Banco de México's dovish March 26 rate cut to 6.75% and unchanged 3.5% end-2026 forecast anchor lower bins, but rising inflation expectations introduce upside risks ahead of full March CPI data expected early April and the next policy meeting.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
市場開放時間： Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
交易量
$33,904結束日期
2027-01-08市場開放時間
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioPolymarket traders price Mexico's 2026 annual headline inflation in a tight contest across the 3.50%-4.99% range, with 4.00%-4.49% leading at 32.5%, 3.50%-3.99% at 30.0%, and 4.50%-4.99% at 28.0%, reflecting competing forces of persistent price pressures and central bank easing. February's consumer price index rose to 4.02% year-over-year—exceeding forecasts of 3.94%—while first-half March accelerated to 4.63% amid supply shocks, tempering optimism despite core inflation holding near 4.5%. Banco de México's dovish March 26 rate cut to 6.75% and unchanged 3.5% end-2026 forecast anchor lower bins, but rising inflation expectations introduce upside risks ahead of full March CPI data expected early April and the next policy meeting.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
交易量
$33,904結束日期
2027-01-08市場開放時間
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price Mexico's 2026 annual headline inflation in a tight contest across the 3.50%-4.99% range, with 4.00%-4.49% leading at 32.5%, 3.50%-3.99% at 30.0%, and 4.50%-4.99% at 28.0%, reflecting competing forces of persistent price pressures and central bank easing. February's consumer price index rose to 4.02% year-over-year—exceeding forecasts of 3.94%—while first-half March accelerated to 4.63% amid supply shocks, tempering optimism despite core inflation holding near 4.5%. Banco de México's dovish March 26 rate cut to 6.75% and unchanged 3.5% end-2026 forecast anchor lower bins, but rising inflation expectations introduce upside risks ahead of full March CPI data expected early April and the next policy meeting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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