Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland's 2nd congressional district in the June 2026 primary, facing Republican nominee Dave Wallace in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior election margins and partisan composition across Baltimore and Carroll County areas, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic candidate. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Limited Republican primary competition and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district's fundamentals reinforce this positioning. A shift would require substantial national political realignment, significant candidate-specific events, or unusually high turnout changes in the remaining campaign period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$12,812 交易量
$12,812 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$12,812 交易量
$12,812 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
$10,118 交易量
93%
Republican Party
$2,694 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland's 2nd congressional district in the June 2026 primary, facing Republican nominee Dave Wallace in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior election margins and partisan composition across Baltimore and Carroll County areas, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic candidate. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Limited Republican primary competition and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district's fundamentals reinforce this positioning. A shift would require substantial national political realignment, significant candidate-specific events, or unusually high turnout changes in the remaining campaign period.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$12,812結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland's 2nd congressional district in the June 2026 primary, facing Republican nominee Dave Wallace in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior election margins and partisan composition across Baltimore and Carroll County areas, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic candidate. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Limited Republican primary competition and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district's fundamentals reinforce this positioning. A shift would require substantial national political realignment, significant candidate-specific events, or unusually high turnout changes in the remaining campaign period.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,812結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination for Maryland's 2nd congressional district in the June 2026 primary, facing Republican nominee Dave Wallace in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in prior election margins and partisan composition across Baltimore and Carroll County areas, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic candidate. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Limited Republican primary competition and the absence of recent developments that would alter the district's fundamentals reinforce this positioning. A shift would require substantial national political realignment, significant candidate-specific events, or unusually high turnout changes in the remaining campaign period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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