Market icon
地緣政治·以色列

馬哈茂德·阿巴斯（ Mahmoud Abbas ）在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統

Market icon
地緣政治·以色列

馬哈茂德·阿巴斯（ Mahmoud Abbas ）在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統

$96,918 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$96,918 交易量

Polymarket

6月30日

$52,634 交易量

18%

12月31日

$44,284 交易量

37%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas, now 90 and in his 21st year of a four-year term without elections since 2005, shows no signs of imminent departure despite persistent succession speculation. A January 2026 routine medical check-up yielded reassuring results, and recent actions—including ordering a probe into a released prisoner's death and amending local election laws to bar Hamas—underscore his active consolidation of Fatah control ahead of the first-ever direct Palestinian National Council elections on November 1, 2026. Absent health crises, no-confidence challenges within the PLO, or external pressures, the leadership status quo persists, with Hussein al-Sheikh positioned as a potential successor; traders monitor upcoming PLO developments for shift signals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$96,918
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas, now 90 and in his 21st year of a four-year term without elections since 2005, shows no signs of imminent departure despite persistent succession speculation. A January 2026 routine medical check-up yielded reassuring results, and recent actions—including ordering a probe into a released prisoner's death and amending local election laws to bar Hamas—underscore his active consolidation of Fatah control ahead of the first-ever direct Palestinian National Council elections on November 1, 2026. Absent health crises, no-confidence challenges within the PLO, or external pressures, the leadership status quo persists, with Hussein al-Sheikh positioned as a potential successor; traders monitor upcoming PLO developments for shift signals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$96,918
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"馬哈茂德·阿巴斯（ Mahmoud Abbas ）在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 37%, followed by "6月30日" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "馬哈茂德·阿巴斯（ Mahmoud Abbas ）在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統" has generated $96.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "馬哈茂德·阿巴斯（ Mahmoud Abbas ）在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "馬哈茂德·阿巴斯（ Mahmoud Abbas ）在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統" is "12月31日" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6月30日" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "馬哈茂德·阿巴斯（ Mahmoud Abbas ）在...前擔任巴勒斯坦總統" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.