Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability that Madison Air Solutions' (MAIR) IPO closing market cap will exceed $13.5 billion, driven by the company's blockbuster pricing at $27 per share—the high end of its marketed range—for a fully diluted valuation of approximately $13.3 billion based on 490 million shares outstanding. Shares surged 18-38% in their April 16 NYSE debut (ticker: MAIR), lifting the market cap to $15.5-15.7 billion amid voracious demand for its ventilation and filtration systems critical to AI-fueled data center expansion. This marks the largest U.S. industrial IPO since 1999, backed by strong revenue growth in S-1 filings. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-close, include extreme profit-taking or sudden sector rotation away from industrials.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於135 億美元以上 100.0%
低於120億 <1%
120億–125億 <1%
125 億–130 億 <1%
$46,940 交易量
$46,940 交易量
2026-04-16
低於120億
否
120億–125億
否
125 億–130 億
否
130 億–135 億
否
135 億美元以上
是
2026年6月前不會IPO
否
135 億美元以上 100.0%
低於120億 <1%
120億–125億 <1%
125 億–130 億 <1%
$46,940 交易量
$46,940 交易量
2026-04-16
低於120億
$5,613 交易量
否
120億–125億
$2,582 交易量
否
125 億–130 億
$3,444 交易量
否
130 億–135 億
$8,879 交易量
否
135 億美元以上
$23,471 交易量
是
2026年6月前不會IPO
$2,951 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability that Madison Air Solutions' (MAIR) IPO closing market cap will exceed $13.5 billion, driven by the company's blockbuster pricing at $27 per share—the high end of its marketed range—for a fully diluted valuation of approximately $13.3 billion based on 490 million shares outstanding. Shares surged 18-38% in their April 16 NYSE debut (ticker: MAIR), lifting the market cap to $15.5-15.7 billion amid voracious demand for its ventilation and filtration systems critical to AI-fueled data center expansion. This marks the largest U.S. industrial IPO since 1999, backed by strong revenue growth in S-1 filings. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-close, include extreme profit-taking or sudden sector rotation away from industrials.
This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Apr 7, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
交易量
$46,940結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability that Madison Air Solutions' (MAIR) IPO closing market cap will exceed $13.5 billion, driven by the company's blockbuster pricing at $27 per share—the high end of its marketed range—for a fully diluted valuation of approximately $13.3 billion based on 490 million shares outstanding. Shares surged 18-38% in their April 16 NYSE debut (ticker: MAIR), lifting the market cap to $15.5-15.7 billion amid voracious demand for its ventilation and filtration systems critical to AI-fueled data center expansion. This marks the largest U.S. industrial IPO since 1999, backed by strong revenue growth in S-1 filings. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-close, include extreme profit-taking or sudden sector rotation away from industrials.
This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
交易量
$46,940結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 7, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability that Madison Air Solutions' (MAIR) IPO closing market cap will exceed $13.5 billion, driven by the company's blockbuster pricing at $27 per share—the high end of its marketed range—for a fully diluted valuation of approximately $13.3 billion based on 490 million shares outstanding. Shares surged 18-38% in their April 16 NYSE debut (ticker: MAIR), lifting the market cap to $15.5-15.7 billion amid voracious demand for its ventilation and filtration systems critical to AI-fueled data center expansion. This marks the largest U.S. industrial IPO since 1999, backed by strong revenue growth in S-1 filings. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-close, include extreme profit-taking or sudden sector rotation away from industrials.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions