President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in South Korea's National Assembly, requiring a two-thirds supermajority (200 of 300 seats) for any impeachment motion to pass—a threshold unattainable without significant People Power Party defections, which recent polls show as improbable amid Lee's approval ratings hovering at 65-69% in late March 2026 surveys, the highest since his June 2025 inauguration following Yoon Suk-yeol's removal. No formal impeachment proceedings have emerged despite opposition criticism of judicial reforms, emergency fiscal orders, and prosecutorial impeachments targeting prior investigators. Trader consensus reflects this legislative firewall and public support, with risks limited to unforeseen scandals or mass defections before year-end resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in South Korea's National Assembly, requiring a two-thirds supermajority (200 of 300 seats) for any impeachment motion to pass—a threshold unattainable without significant People Power Party defections, which recent polls show as improbable amid Lee's approval ratings hovering at 65-69% in late March 2026 surveys, the highest since his June 2025 inauguration following Yoon Suk-yeol's removal. No formal impeachment proceedings have emerged despite opposition criticism of judicial reforms, emergency fiscal orders, and prosecutorial impeachments targeting prior investigators. Trader consensus reflects this legislative firewall and public support, with risks limited to unforeseen scandals or mass defections before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
交易量
$4,453結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in South Korea's National Assembly, requiring a two-thirds supermajority (200 of 300 seats) for any impeachment motion to pass—a threshold unattainable without significant People Power Party defections, which recent polls show as improbable amid Lee's approval ratings hovering at 65-69% in late March 2026 surveys, the highest since his June 2025 inauguration following Yoon Suk-yeol's removal. No formal impeachment proceedings have emerged despite opposition criticism of judicial reforms, emergency fiscal orders, and prosecutorial impeachments targeting prior investigators. Trader consensus reflects this legislative firewall and public support, with risks limited to unforeseen scandals or mass defections before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$4,453結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in South Korea's National Assembly, requiring a two-thirds supermajority (200 of 300 seats) for any impeachment motion to pass—a threshold unattainable without significant People Power Party defections, which recent polls show as improbable amid Lee's approval ratings hovering at 65-69% in late March 2026 surveys, the highest since his June 2025 inauguration following Yoon Suk-yeol's removal. No formal impeachment proceedings have emerged despite opposition criticism of judicial reforms, emergency fiscal orders, and prosecutorial impeachments targeting prior investigators. Trader consensus reflects this legislative firewall and public support, with risks limited to unforeseen scandals or mass defections before year-end resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions