Former Kansas Governor Jeff Colyer leads trader consensus at 38% implied probability in the August 4 Republican primary for Kansas governor, bolstered by his high name recognition from a fall 2025 survey, strong fundraising totals exceeding $1 million including personal loans reported in January 2026, and endorsements positioning him as the experienced frontrunner. Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt follows at 21%, leveraging her statewide office and focus on fiscal issues, despite skipping the January 30 Wichita debate. Businessman Philip Sarnecki (19%) and Senate President Ty Masterson (17%) compete closely with outsider appeal and legislative leadership, respectively, amid a crowded field unified on core issues like taxes in the debate but divided on experience. Recent momentum includes Colyer's March campaign surge and a minor endorsement shift, with filing deadline June 1 ahead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於傑夫·科利耶 38%
維姬·施密特 21.1%
菲利普·薩內基 18.8%
Ty Masterson 17%
$31,201 交易量
$31,201 交易量
傑夫·科利耶
38%
維姬·施密特
21%
菲利普·薩內基
19%
Ty Masterson
17%
夏洛特·奧哈拉
5%
史黛西·羅傑斯
4%
喬伊·伊金斯
2%
斯科特·施瓦布
1%
傑夫·科利耶 38%
維姬·施密特 21.1%
菲利普·薩內基 18.8%
Ty Masterson 17%
$31,201 交易量
$31,201 交易量
傑夫·科利耶
38%
維姬·施密特
21%
菲利普·薩內基
19%
Ty Masterson
17%
夏洛特·奧哈拉
5%
史黛西·羅傑斯
4%
喬伊·伊金斯
2%
斯科特·施瓦布
1%
If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 9, 2025, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Kansas Governor Jeff Colyer leads trader consensus at 38% implied probability in the August 4 Republican primary for Kansas governor, bolstered by his high name recognition from a fall 2025 survey, strong fundraising totals exceeding $1 million including personal loans reported in January 2026, and endorsements positioning him as the experienced frontrunner. Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt follows at 21%, leveraging her statewide office and focus on fiscal issues, despite skipping the January 30 Wichita debate. Businessman Philip Sarnecki (19%) and Senate President Ty Masterson (17%) compete closely with outsider appeal and legislative leadership, respectively, amid a crowded field unified on core issues like taxes in the debate but divided on experience. Recent momentum includes Colyer's March campaign surge and a minor endorsement shift, with filing deadline June 1 ahead.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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