US-brokered talks in January 2026 produced a limited joint mechanism for Israel-Syria intelligence sharing and military de-escalation, but no comprehensive security agreement has followed amid escalating tensions. Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa claimed two days ago that Israel backed out of broader normalization at the last minute, while Israel cites threats to Druze communities in southern Syria, conducting airstrikes on March 20 targeting regime infrastructure after clashes and maintaining checkpoints near Quneitra. Disputes persist over demilitarization, buffer zones, and Golan Heights status, with the Trump administration urging a pact via phased Israeli withdrawal for Syrian non-aggression guarantees. Renewed Paris negotiations may occur soon under US envoy mediation, though cross-border incidents undermine trader confidence in near-term resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$761,584 交易量
2026-01-31
6月30日
13%
$761,584 交易量
6月30日
$178,883 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.US-brokered talks in January 2026 produced a limited joint mechanism for Israel-Syria intelligence sharing and military de-escalation, but no comprehensive security agreement has followed amid escalating tensions. Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa claimed two days ago that Israel backed out of broader normalization at the last minute, while Israel cites threats to Druze communities in southern Syria, conducting airstrikes on March 20 targeting regime infrastructure after clashes and maintaining checkpoints near Quneitra. Disputes persist over demilitarization, buffer zones, and Golan Heights status, with the Trump administration urging a pact via phased Israeli withdrawal for Syrian non-aggression guarantees. Renewed Paris negotiations may occur soon under US envoy mediation, though cross-border incidents undermine trader confidence in near-term resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.
市場開放時間： Jan 5, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
交易量
$761,584結束日期
2025-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.US-brokered talks in January 2026 produced a limited joint mechanism for Israel-Syria intelligence sharing and military de-escalation, but no comprehensive security agreement has followed amid escalating tensions. Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa claimed two days ago that Israel backed out of broader normalization at the last minute, while Israel cites threats to Druze communities in southern Syria, conducting airstrikes on March 20 targeting regime infrastructure after clashes and maintaining checkpoints near Quneitra. Disputes persist over demilitarization, buffer zones, and Golan Heights status, with the Trump administration urging a pact via phased Israeli withdrawal for Syrian non-aggression guarantees. Renewed Paris negotiations may occur soon under US envoy mediation, though cross-border incidents undermine trader confidence in near-term resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official security agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the governments of Israel and Syria by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.
This market refers only to agreements which directly address border security and demarcation, normalization, or diplomatic recognition or otherwise creates a formalized security framework between the two states.
Ceasefire announcements or other announced de-escalations such as those relating to the July 16-18 skirmishes with the Druze, or any other future military engagements, which do not address the broader security relationship will not qualify.
Only deals which are officially announced will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a formalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Israeli and Syrian governments. However, an agreement which is announced by only of the parties will qualify if an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms that such a formal agreement has been reached.
交易量
$761,584結束日期
2025-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-brokered talks in January 2026 produced a limited joint mechanism for Israel-Syria intelligence sharing and military de-escalation, but no comprehensive security agreement has followed amid escalating tensions. Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa claimed two days ago that Israel backed out of broader normalization at the last minute, while Israel cites threats to Druze communities in southern Syria, conducting airstrikes on March 20 targeting regime infrastructure after clashes and maintaining checkpoints near Quneitra. Disputes persist over demilitarization, buffer zones, and Golan Heights status, with the Trump administration urging a pact via phased Israeli withdrawal for Syrian non-aggression guarantees. Renewed Paris negotiations may occur soon under US envoy mediation, though cross-border incidents undermine trader confidence in near-term resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions